Will Rachel Reeves spring a forecast surprise?
Inside Briefing with the Institute for Government
Institute for Government
4.5 • 279 Ratings
🗓️ 26 February 2026
⏱️ 43 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
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| 0:00.0 | Fire up the forecasts, read up on the rules, study the spending plans and get ready for a big day for Rachel Reeves in Parliament. |
| 0:10.8 | But just how big will it be? |
| 0:13.0 | I'm Hannah White and this is Inside Briefing, the podcast from the Institute for Government. |
| 0:27.9 | On Tuesday, the Chancellor will deliver her spring forecast. It's not a budget, it's not a fiscal event and it therefore doesn't get a primetime post-PMQ slot in the Commons timetable. So what |
| 0:34.5 | exactly is it for and how significant is this forecast for the government? |
| 0:38.9 | We've been told not to expect big announcements on tax or spending plans, so what will we hear from |
| 0:44.5 | Rachel Reeves? We'll explore the Chancellor's options and the risks and possible rewards. |
| 0:49.6 | And then we'll turn to this week's big spending announcement on send reform. |
| 0:53.8 | Do the sums add up and just what is |
| 0:55.7 | the government trying to do? All that to come. Joining me today is an IFG senior economist who is |
| 1:02.2 | constantly checking the government sums and that's Dan highly. Hi Dan. Hi. And Giles Wilkes, an |
| 1:07.3 | IFG senior fellow who was once a special advisor for Theresa May and Vince Cable, is here too. |
| 1:12.6 | Hi, Charles. |
| 1:13.5 | Hi, Hannah. |
| 1:14.5 | I saw the Lib Dems are calling to do away with the Treasury altogether and create a Department |
| 1:18.9 | for Growth. Where are you currently on that debate? |
| 1:21.7 | I can fairly be accused of being schizophrenic on this, because about 12 years ago, when I was |
| 1:26.6 | incredibly young, |
| 1:27.7 | I gave some support to the idea that the Treasury's functions could be moved, maybe a little |
| 1:34.2 | bit to the Cabinet office, and bristling under austerity, as we were at the time, I was |
| 1:39.1 | complaining about Treasury power. Now, a much better publication produced by none less than |
| 1:43.6 | the Institute for Government with me and a couple of colleagues at the beginning of 2024 would say yet, I mean, treasury power can feel like a problem, but stop blaming everything on the Treasury Orthodoxy, free markets and so forth. They tend to follow the steer of their excellent treasury advisors and chancellors, |
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