Will inflation be larger than we think?
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 11 May 2024
⏱️ 11 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
Show links:
T-bills, gold and macro volatility
Gold jumps to highest in a month as data signals slowing economy, likely rate cuts
Citadel CEO Ken Griffin sees the Fed likely cutting interest rates later in 2024
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | David Dagglio. |
| 0:01.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha. |
| 0:03.0 | Thanks for making the time. |
| 0:04.0 | Rina, great. David Dagglio, welcome to Seeking Alpha. |
| 0:13.1 | Thanks so much for making the time. |
| 0:14.5 | Rina, great to be here. |
| 0:15.5 | So where do you feel like the fundamentals |
| 0:20.0 | are making the most sense when you're looking at the market these days. |
| 0:23.2 | Let's start with the obvious. |
| 0:26.0 | This AI data center build out is the most obvious capital spending boom I have seen since telecom where we know there's a need |
| 0:37.2 | and it's going to happen. Where things become less obvious to me is I think we're |
| 0:42.4 | seeing the end of US exceptionalism and I |
| 0:46.7 | know it's consensus that the US is exceptional but but some of that has been |
| 0:51.2 | exaggerated by the large fiscal spend. |
| 0:54.6 | And that fiscal spend is creating an inflationary impulse. |
| 0:58.1 | And so what we're talking to our clients about, and this is a little more controversial, is let's make sure you're protected in an environment |
| 1:05.7 | when 60-40 ends and or when inflation is larger than we think. |
| 1:11.0 | T-bills and gold in terms of protecting investors from these macro kind of volatile measures. |
| 1:19.6 | How are you articulating for investors how they should be protecting themselves? |
| 1:24.0 | I think two trades are not getting discussed enough. |
| 1:26.8 | The first is simply, you know, go short to get long bonds and what that means is you want to stay much shorter duration than the |
| 1:36.2 | average maturity curve that's out there in the world because you're getting paid you know |
... |
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