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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Why We Need To Watch the Japanese Yen

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 22 April 2022

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The U.S. dollar climbed to a fresh two-decade peak to the Japanese yen on Wednesday, this latest move catalyzed by Federal Reserve officials pushing for more aggressive interest rate hikes. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan continues to defend its ultra-accommodative policy. Policymakers there believe inflation is indeed transitory and that capping interest rates remains the wise course. But this divergence is creating unprecedented tension in the bond and forex markets. According to Jim Bianco, president and founder of Bianco Research, “The bond market, the banking system, and the financial system are not really designed to have the entire bond market lose 10% of its value in four months. Every other time we’ve seen this we have run into problems.” Bianco joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about the Japanese yen’s systemic significance, the Fed’s fight against inflation, and the trajectory of the U.S. and the global economy. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3Mn1Syk. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi, everyone. Welcome to the real vision daily briefing. It is Thursday, April 21, 2022.

0:10.9

I'm Maggie Lake here with Jim Bianco, president and founder of Bianco Research. Hi, Jim. How are you?

0:16.8

I'm doing great, man. Better than the stock markets. I was just going to say both of us are doing

0:21.0

better than the markets. What a hot mess today. I mean, really kind of falling apart here at the

0:26.0

end of the day if you're looking at equities. And we were just sort of chatting as we came to

0:30.5

air. This isn't less than equity story. It's really it seems a bond story. You know, first of all,

0:37.4

let's just go through the numbers for those who who maybe you're not staring at your screen.

0:42.1

We saw yields moving up again the 10 year at last check in the two nine hands. I don't think we

0:48.0

did breach above three. But if not, we got awfully close. The federal reserve chairman,

0:53.3

Jay Powell speaking live today just a couple hours ago saying that essentially a 50 basis point hike

1:00.0

certainly on the table in May, which I think most people think, but then also kind of adding some color

1:04.8

right saying the Fred Fed should sort of front load whatever policy changes were needed. We saw a big

1:11.2

market reaction after that. More pressure on bonds. Stocks did a big U-turn. There was a rally

1:17.6

in the beginning of the day, you know, looking at earnings and some better than expected earnings,

1:22.0

but that just fell apart at the end here. You know, when we when we look across the markets, Jim,

1:27.8

you know, what do you make of the action we saw today?

1:31.2

Yeah, you know, it is a disappointing day because it was only five hours ago that we were all

1:37.7

excited about the Tesla earnings and the airlines that we're talking about. Everybody's going to

1:44.0

go out and buy an airline ticket and the economy's going to reopen to have such a big reversal on

1:49.6

good news is really it's almost a bigger surprise what happened today than you could argue what

1:56.2

happened yesterday because yesterday we were coming off the bad, the back of the bad news from

2:01.5

Netflix and the market rallied on that and today it went down even more on the good news that

...

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