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Why Trump’s chip ban could help Chinese Nvidia rival 4/16/25

TechCheck

CNBC

Disruptors, Investing, Faang, Technology, Business, Management, Cnbc, Tech

4.856 Ratings

🗓️ 16 April 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Nvidia shares falling and dragging down the rest of semis after a surprise reveal of a $5.5 billion hit tied to China chip export controls. We look at why the restrictions may be the opening a Chinese rival needs.

Transcript

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0:00.0

NVIDIA shares still lower and dragging down the rest of the semis after that surprise

0:04.8

$5.5 billion hit tied to China chip export controls, but the restrictions may represent an

0:10.7

opening for one Chinese competitor. Dear Jibosa tells us why in today's tech check, D.

0:17.0

Hey, good morning, Leslie. So put simply, the latest controls. They boost Huawei while

0:21.7

Nvidia pays the price. They ban H20s, but they do nothing to cut Huawei off from the tools

0:26.9

and the components needed to build its own chips and systems. And this really hits on a theme that

0:31.4

has been most threatening to American AI dominance this year. Necessity is the mother of invention.

0:36.8

It's not that Huawei comes anywhere

0:38.3

close to Nvidia's capability in terms of raw performance or ecosystem. It doesn't. And in fact,

0:43.2

the H20 chips, Nvidia was selling to China. They were inferior to. The reason Nvidia has to write

0:49.3

them off anyways is because no one outside of China would actively choose to use them when presented with a choice.

0:55.0

China hasn't had a choice, though, of course, thanks to those existing export controls that

0:59.2

banned the higher-end semis.

1:01.9

Now, just like Deepseek, a Chinese startup that built a GPT4-level model with far fewer resources,

1:08.4

Huawei is pushing to offer its own alternative to Nvidia and now with far more

1:13.9

urgency. Moreover, the Chinese government and companies, they're even more incentivized to use them.

1:19.2

Huawei, meanwhile, it's already getting better at doing more with less its latest AI infrastructure

1:24.3

architecture. It essentially stitches together more hardware to create something

1:28.7

that reportedly mimics the performance of Nvidia's high-end systems. This isn't efficient,

1:33.6

it's not elegant, but it is effective enough to keep moving forward without US chips. And that

1:40.0

is critical because as Chinese AI at large gains more independence, that ultimately hits

1:45.6

American leverage. Export controls, they only work if China needs what we are denying. Once domestic

...

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