From New York Times, I'm Michael Barrow.

This is Adelaide.

Today, a showdown between House Republicans and their leader, Speaker Kevin McCarthy,

is about to turn into a government shutdown this weekend.

My colleague, Chief Washington correspondent Carl Hors, takes us inside the causes and

the consequences of the looming crisis.

It's Friday, September 29th.

Carl, we are talking to you at about 12 o'clock on Thursday afternoon at this very moment

in your estimation.

How likely is it that the U.S. government shuts down the deadline is 12 o' 1 a.m. on Saturday?

I mean, pretty likely, and here's one good reason for that.

The Senate right now is not even scheduled to take a final vote on its emergency plan until

Sunday.

Which is not very helpful when the deadline is midnight Saturday.

I mean, there could be a Kumbaya moment where everybody says, okay, listen, we're going

to avoid this.

Let's just pass something to keep the money going, panic could set in, we're going to get

killed for this.

Let's not do it.

But right now, the timetable itself is set to have a shutdown.

Got it.

So we want you to explain in way only you can why we're going to be enduring this awful

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