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Foreign Policy Live

Why the Dollar’s Decline Matters

Foreign Policy Live

Foreign Policy

Politics, News Commentary, News

4601 Ratings

🗓️ 25 July 2025

⏱️ 45 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The U.S. dollar has declined by more than 10 percent this year. Is the fall just a normal fluctuation, or is it a sign of something much more worrying? How seriously should we take threats to the dollar’s dominance as the world’s reserve currency? Economist Kenneth Rogoff shares more. Rogoff is a former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund and the author of Our Dollar, Your Problem: An Insider’s View of Seven Turbulent Decades of Global Finance, and the Road Ahead. Kenneth Rogoff: How Low Can the Dollar Go? Ravi Agrawal: What the Dollar’s Decline Reveals About America Foreign Policy magazine’s Summer 2025 Print Issue Peter Coy: Trump’s Trade Contradictions Come Home to Roost Keith Johnson: America’s Economic Warfare is Sowing Its Own Demise Jared Cohen: Don’t Bet Against the Dollar Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:32.3

Hi, I'm Ravi Agrawal, Foreign Policy's editor Editor-in-Chief, this is FP Live.

0:40.8

So I'm traveling abroad this week and we're bringing you a discussion that aired live on our website earlier this month.

0:48.3

Traveling abroad is actually relevant here.

0:51.0

If you're an American and you've been abroad recently, you might have realized that

0:55.5

things are a bit more expensive than usual. And if you're one of our many international listeners

1:00.8

and you've visited America, you might have noticed that things are a bit cheaper. What's going on?

1:07.3

It is the dollar. The dollar is down 10% this year already, and analysts say it could drop another 10% or so in the next 18 months. Why? Well, there's a theory that the dollar's recent decline is less a symbol of the actual value of the dollar and more vote in the health of the U.S.

1:28.9

economy, a referendum on the direction of American fiscal policy.

1:34.3

And my guest this week writes in our latest print issue that while the dollar has been

1:39.8

understrain for many years, Trump's tariffs are rapidly accelerating its decline. But the question

1:47.1

then is, what would that actually mean for you and me? And what could possibly replace the dollar

1:54.7

as the world's reserve currency? Well, Ken Rogoff is a Harvard University professor, a former chief economist at the IMF,

2:03.4

and the author of the new book, Our Dollar, Your Problem,

2:07.3

An Insider's View of Seven Turbulent Decades of Global Finance and The Road Ahead,

...

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