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Animal Spirits Podcast

Why The Bull Market Could Last a Lot Longer (EP.238)

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.72.1K Ratings

🗓️ 5 January 2022

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's show we discuss the year that was in the stock market for 2021, why people hate the Fed so much, Michael's predictions for the year, why the bull market could continue to run, stock market FUD, Disney's new movie formula and much more.   Find complete shownotes on our blogs... Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick’s The Irrelevant Investor Like us on Facebook And feel free to shoot us an email at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today's animal spirits is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts.

0:04.4

I'm a very simple guy, Michael.

0:06.0

I like simple things when it comes to paying attention to the markets.

0:09.2

One of my favorite things to check on Y-charts is the simple S&P 500 total return.

0:14.7

So they include the dividends.

0:16.1

Now it says total return on there.

0:17.3

So when people on Twitter ask, does this include dividends?

0:19.7

They should know, total return.

0:21.6

I looked at this year that day and I was running a bunch of different numbers.

0:23.6

We're going to get into it on today's show a little bit.

0:25.9

For 2021, 28.7% annual return.

0:30.4

Pretty nice.

0:31.6

For 2021.

0:33.1

Now it's show 22.

0:33.9

So I was looking back and I for some reason was reading the Warren Buffett by America.

0:39.0

I am from 2008.

0:41.2

Is that like a new annual tradition every new year you read that just to get your juices going?

0:45.6

Fand off some of the bearish thoughts.

0:46.8

So the stock market fell 30% more from those levels in mid-October.

0:50.4

But this is the S&P.

0:51.5

It's up 600% since then.

0:53.4

So I'm like, jeez, if it's up 600% since then, what is it up from the bottom?

...

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