Why The Biggest Risk To Retiring Early Is Not What You Think
Early Retirement - Financial Freedom (Investing, Tax Planning, Retirement Strategy, Personal Finance)
Ari Taublieb, CFP®, MBA
4.7 • 583 Ratings
🗓️ 12 May 2025
⏱️ 14 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | You can be on track for retirement and still feel worried. And here's why. I bet that you are right now on track for retirement from, let's call it, 65 to 95. But you're wondering, hey, what if something goes wrong? Markets go down. I want to spend more than I think. Health care costs go up. My kids don't get a scholarship to go play football in college, |
| 0:22.2 | whatever. Well, now all of a sudden, yeah, I think my retirement's okay, but it's this 50 to 65 |
| 0:28.7 | that's kind of given me the anxiety because what if it turns out I retire one year too early? |
| 0:34.1 | Or what if it turns out, once again, markets go down, health care goes up, I live longer than I think. So the point here is most people are worrying about this gap from 50 to 65 |
| 0:45.6 | because that's when all of a sudden they go, well, after 65, if I really needed to, I mean, |
| 0:51.4 | I could turn on Social Security. I'm probably going to spend less when I'm in my 70s and 80s on travel versus my early years of a retirement. And I'll say, that's correct. And they'll say, well, then help me out. Like, what do I do in this situation? And what we do is we do a lot of what if scenarios that I'm going to explain today. But the biggest thing, and this is the number one |
| 1:12.1 | takeaway, which you're going to have right now, is don't put everything on your portfolio in the first |
| 1:19.6 | year. And so here's what I mean. I will see people who reach out and they go, look, I have two |
| 1:25.1 | million bucks. I feel that I want to spend about 60, 70,000 |
| 1:28.9 | a year in retirement. I've done some basic math. I think I can do that. But my concern is right |
| 1:35.1 | now I have extra health care costs because I don't have Medicare yet. I want to travel more |
| 1:40.2 | when I have my health. My kids are not in college yet. So we need to cash flow that. We really do |
| 1:45.8 | need a new car and we need to remodel the bathroom. So the risk here is markets go down and they get |
| 1:52.6 | unlucky. In the one year when they retire, now all of a sudden, they need, let's call it, $200,000. |
| 1:59.9 | But their $2 million is not at $2 million anymore. Now it's at $1.8. Well, they still need it $200,000, but their $2 million is not at $2 million anymore. |
| 2:02.2 | Now it's at $1.8. Well, they still need that $200,000. So now all of a sudden they're at $1.6, |
| 2:07.8 | and they need income for the next 40, 50 years. So the point here is you can be legitimately on |
| 2:14.4 | track for retirement and still have anxiety about, hey, can I really retire early? |
| 2:19.8 | So that's number one is validating the way you feel right now because some people don't know |
| 2:23.6 | why they feel this way. They're like, I feel like I have enough. I mean, I've got a million |
| 2:27.4 | and a half. I've got two million. I've got three, five, ten million bucks. Why is that I still |
| 2:31.5 | have this feeling that something is missing? And the way you protect |
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