Why Tesla’s Future Looks Riskier Than Ever
Forbes Topline
Forbes
4.8 • 6 Ratings
🗓️ 30 April 2025
⏱️ 26 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hi, everybody. I'm Brittany Lewis, a breaking news reporter here at Forbes. |
| 0:06.9 | Joining me now is Alan Oansman, senior editor and author of the current climate newsletter. |
| 0:11.9 | Alan, thanks so much for joining me. |
| 0:14.2 | Hi, Brittany. Good to be with you. |
| 0:16.1 | I want to read your latest reporting headline. You write this. Elon Musk is running out of ideas to save Tesla. |
| 0:23.7 | And in our conversations within really the past weeks, you've said things are bad at Tesla, |
| 0:28.4 | and you're reporting last week, the company posted its worst quarterly results in four years. |
| 0:33.8 | So dive a little bit into the numbers for us to start off the conversation. Explain exactly the state Tesla is currently in. |
| 0:40.9 | Well, I'll start with the headline for the story that Elon's out of ideas. |
| 0:45.3 | And that might seem counterintuitive to some people because he is announcing some new things. |
| 0:50.6 | Those include a robotaxy program that is supposed to kick off in Austin next month, |
| 0:57.5 | the potential for Tesla to be a huge AI play at some point, and also humanoid robotics, |
| 1:04.6 | their optimist program where they're building human-style robot workers. So one might think, |
| 1:09.8 | those are ideas, and I would say those are ideas, |
| 1:12.8 | and that is all that they are at this point, meaning they're not businesses. There is no way |
| 1:18.3 | to model and project earnings for any of these things. Elon throws a lot of numbers out, |
| 1:24.2 | saying robots will be a trillion-dollar business. Okay, maybe. But if I'm an analyst, |
| 1:29.8 | if I'm an equity analyst, and I'm trying to bake in, what are the things I know in terms of |
| 1:34.8 | existing businesses and trying to project forward earnings, I can't model those. It's what's |
| 1:42.2 | called hopium. One might wish that these things come true. |
| 1:47.3 | But right now, they're not real concrete businesses. So we have to kind of set those aside. When I say |
| 1:54.6 | he's out of ideas, what I'm talking about is the core business of Tesla. And it boils down really to three things. Electric vehicles, |
... |
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