4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 7 August 2018
⏱️ 28 minutes
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0:00.0 | This is exchanges at Goldman Sachs where we discuss developments currently shaping markets, industries, |
0:13.6 | and the global economy. |
0:14.6 | I'm Jake Stewart, global head of corporate communications here at the firm. |
0:18.4 | Today we're talking about perhaps the most dominant industry of the past decade,. The tech sectors enjoyed tremendous growth |
0:24.6 | post-financial crisis, but with that comes the question, are we in a bubble or is |
0:29.0 | this sustainable? Joining us in the studio today is Peter Oppenheimer, Global Equity Strategist |
0:34.9 | and head of macro research in Europe. Peter and his team recently published a |
0:38.6 | report titled Why Technology is Not a Bubble, Lessons from History. |
0:42.4 | Peter, welcome to the program. Thank you Jay, good to be technology is not a bubble, lessons from history. |
0:42.6 | Peter, welcome to the program. |
0:44.1 | Thank you, Jake. |
0:44.7 | Good to be here. |
0:45.8 | So let's start by understanding how we got here. |
0:47.6 | Obviously, your title is deliberately provocative. |
0:50.3 | Since the financial crisis, what's been driving the dramatic rise of the tech sector? |
0:55.0 | Well I think there are a number of things. |
0:57.0 | I mean firstly we should say that growth as a factor has been outperforming significantly in equity markets for the whole period since the financial crisis |
1:05.8 | and technology is a big part of that and I think one of the reasons is because actually it's been |
1:11.1 | quite a weak economic recovery globally and that's |
1:14.6 | typically what you see after a deleveraging cycle in a banking sector. It's also |
1:20.6 | been a very disjointed economic recovery because of the extent to which it moved initially from the US in 2008 and then to the European crisis in 2011 onwards and then finally EM in 2015-16. So globally we had |
1:37.1 | weak growth we had weak profit growth and therefore investors have been prepared |
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