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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Growth, Politics and Shareholder Activism: European Equities in Focus

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 17 August 2018

⏱️ 21 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Looking at investor returns, European equities are trailing U.S. peers while beating emerging-market stocks in 2018. As part of our closer look at emerging economic and market themes in Europe, Sharon Bell of Goldman Sachs Research discusses the factors that explain this performance, zeroing in on U.K., German and French stocks. Bell breaks down investors' preference for growth companies over value stocks that trade at cheaper prices, particularly against a backdrop of ongoing political uncertainty and a slower pace of economic growth in the region. As for her outlook for the rest of the year, Bell says European companies look poised to deliver decent earnings growth of around 10 percent in 2018 and equities' performance could improve if political concerns subside. This podcast was recorded on August 1, 2018. All price references and market forecasts correspond to the date of this recording. This podcast should not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part. The information contained in this podcast does not constitute research or a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to the listener. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this podcast and any liability therefor (including in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage) is expressly disclaimed. The views expressed in this podcast are not necessarily those of Goldman Sachs, and Goldman Sachs is not providing any financial, economic, legal, accounting or tax advice or recommendations in this podcast. In addition, the receipt of this podcast by any listener is not to be taken as constituting the giving of investment advice by Goldman Sachs to that listener, nor to constitute such person a client of any Goldman Sachs entity. Copyright 2018 Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC. All rights reserved.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is exchanges Goldman Sachs where we discuss developments currently shaping markets, industries

0:13.5

in the global economy.

0:15.0

I'm Jake Seward, global head of corporate communications here at the firm.

0:18.4

We're in our London studio today as part of a deep dive into emerging economic and market themes around Europe.

0:24.0

Today we'll be talking European Equities with Sharon Bell, senior European Equity

0:28.8

Strategists at Goldman Sachs Investment Research.

0:32.0

Sharon, welcome to the program.

0:33.6

Welcome.

0:34.6

Let's start by just setting the stage.

0:36.2

How have European equities performed in recent months and what's the outlook?

0:39.8

Well, I have to say they haven't performed super well.

0:41.9

They're roughly flat this year.

0:43.2

So if you're an investor that's not a brilliant return. But they haven't been dreadful either.

0:47.6

So if I compare them globally, then European equities are flat.

0:50.8

U.S. is up about 5%, so it certainly is outperformed. Whereas if you in If you'd have been investing in Europe for diversification purposes, it wouldn't have been too much disaster, but I wouldn't say they performed very well, no.

1:07.0

In your research, you take a forensic look at factors, value, momentum, growth, how the various factors performed in Europe at the moment and why?

1:16.4

The things that have done really well this year have either been growth companies, companies

1:20.8

with a particular innovative or they happen to be in a growth area, growth market,

1:24.8

or companies with very strong balance sheets.

1:26.8

Basically companies that offer investors not just a valuation or just cheap, companies

1:32.3

that have got a particular growth remit.

1:35.0

For example, our basket of companies which are investing extra in Capex and R&D and have good returns,

...

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