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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Why Health Care's Future Is All About Value

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Julia McGonagle

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 20 July 2017

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Health care is projected to make up nearly forty percent of the US federal budget by 2025. In an effort to slow down cost increases, some in the industry have begun to explore value-based contracts, potentially transforming the industry's economics. Jami Rubin and Robert P. Jones of Goldman Sachs Research discuss how placing an emphasis on patient outcomes - instead of volumes of medications or services sold - could impact investors, companies and consumers. This podcast was recorded on July 12, 2017. All price references and market forecasts correspond to the date of this recording. This podcast should not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part. The information contained in this podcast does not constitute research or a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to the listener. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this podcast and any liability therefor (including in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage) is expressly disclaimed. The views expressed in this podcast are not necessarily those of Goldman Sachs, and Goldman Sachs is not providing any financial, economic, legal, accounting or tax advice or recommendations in this podcast. In addition, the receipt of this podcast by any listener is not to be taken as constituting the giving of investment advice by Goldman Sachs to that listener, nor to constitute such person a client of any Goldman Sachs entity. Copyright 2017 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is exchanges at Goldman Sachs, where we discuss developments currently shaping markets, industries, and the global economy.

0:16.0

I'm Jake Stewart, global head of corporate communications here at the firm.

0:19.7

In the United States, health care is basically synonymous these days with uncertainty, especially

0:24.6

after the recent collapse of the Senate Republican effort to repeal and replace the Affordable

0:29.3

Care Act.

0:30.7

But even as health care reform remains in limbo at best, investors appear to be by and large giving the industry the benefit of the doubt.

0:38.5

So what gives? To find out what's top of mind for those in the know in health care. I'm joined by

0:43.6

Jamie Rubin and Bob Jones of Goldman Sachs research. Welcome to you both.

0:47.4

Thank you. Thank you. To be here. So Jamie, let's start with you. From an

0:51.2

investor perspective, there's been a lot of uncertainty about

0:54.0

the sector, what's happening in Washington. How's that affected the way in which investors are

0:58.8

looking at the market and opportunities in the sector?

1:01.8

Jake, that's a really interesting question.

1:03.5

Actually, despite so much uncertainty in the marketplace about health care reform,

1:07.8

corporate tax reform, which we'll talk about, health care has been the second best performing

1:12.4

group in the S&P this year,

1:14.0

and that's really for a couple reasons. Number one,

1:16.0

health care was the worst performing group last year,

1:19.0

after a very tough year in the market.

1:21.0

But secondly, investors start of the year, but secondly, investors started the year nervous about health care because of comments that the

1:27.7

Trump administration made early in the year about drug pricing and there was fear among

1:32.4

health care investors that the administration

...

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