Why Growth Is Getting Harder
Cato Podcast
Cato Institute
4.5 • 979 Ratings
🗓️ 29 October 2013
⏱️ 15 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Tuesday, October 29th, 2013. |
| 0:07.0 | I'm Caleb Brown. |
| 0:09.0 | Is the United States doomed to a long period of slow economic growth. |
| 0:13.0 | Cato Institute Vice President for research, |
| 0:15.0 | Brink-Linsy argues that slow growth is not inevitable, |
| 0:18.0 | but in the short term it's quite likely. |
| 0:20.0 | His new paper, why growth is getting harder, |
| 0:22.0 | is available now at Cato.org. |
| 0:26.5 | The Tyler Cowan argument, which you've talked about extensively, is essentially that at least for the time being we've snagged all the low hanging fruit with respect to |
| 0:39.0 | Technological innovation and that sort of thing we've gotten, productivity gains that we've gotten them. |
| 0:45.1 | And there aren't a lot to be had, at least in the near term. |
| 0:48.1 | And you take issue with some of that. |
| 0:51.4 | So yes, Tyler Cowan wrote the Great Stagnation where he argued that |
| 0:54.8 | growth had been slowing over recent decades because among other things we've run |
| 1:00.1 | out of big ticket innovations great new ideas for improving consumer welfare. |
| 1:07.0 | Another economist Robert Gordon has seen Cowan and raised him a few by arguing that there's really no great new innovations |
| 1:18.2 | in the pipeline foreseeable and that the 250-year episode of modern economic growth is about to run out. |
| 1:25.2 | I'm agnostic and dubious about any grim future for innovation. |
| 1:31.9 | If I had to put a bet down, I would bet that the future for innovation. If I had to put a bet down I would bet that the future |
| 1:34.5 | of innovation is very bright. However, there are other factors that contribute to economic |
| 1:40.6 | growth besides innovation and those factors have swung in a |
| 1:45.4 | negative direction. So even if innovations future is bright I'm afraid that |
... |
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