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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Why Biden's Unpopularity Doesn't Seem To Be Tanking Democrats

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 26 September 2022

⏱️ 56 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The crew discusses how Biden’s approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Ingle the, Ingle them bike more directly towards your face like this. Yeah. I think last time we did have you put it on a book

0:07.3

Is it on a book again this time?

0:09.0

Yeah, I don't think I'm gonna hotel room. Maybe there's a Bible or something

0:13.0

The Gideons are there for you, you know in every way. Wait, is Nate still in Vegas or is he in New York?

0:21.0

Uh, I don't think there's a Bible.

0:24.0

What kind of heaviness state are you in?

0:27.0

Well, if it's Vegas, that might be a one place where you wouldn't have a Bible in the drawer.

0:34.0

Yeah, there's, I am in Vegas and there's no Bible.

0:37.0

Oh, I'm gonna have to be a little bit calm. Vegas is just living up to Sin City.

0:50.0

Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast. I'm Gaelin Drug.

0:54.0

There are now only six weeks until Election Day.

0:58.0

Six weeks before we start to figure out just how much President Biden has hurt or helped his party in the midterms.

1:04.0

Traditionally, a president's approval rating is pretty closely tied to how his party performs.

1:09.0

But Democrats have been overperforming Biden in the polls for months.

1:14.0

And last week, Biden demured slightly about his intentions to run for re-election in 2024.

1:20.0

So, is this an intentional strategy? And how much will the midterms affect Biden's thinking?

1:26.0

We're gonna discuss, we'll also focus on how demographic and geographic changes are shaping one of the most competitive races in the country this fall.

1:35.0

The Georgia Senate election.

1:37.0

Georgia's black electorate has grown faster than any other state in the country over the past 20 years.

1:43.0

We're gonna look at how that happened and what it means for the state's politics.

1:47.0

We'll also dive into whether or not Google search trends have anything to tell us about what's on voters' minds that the polls don't.

1:55.0

Here with me to discuss it all is editor-in-chief Nate Silver. Hey Nate, how's it going?

...

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