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Forbes Daily Briefing

Why An Unsustainable Bubble Is Growing Inside Fintech

Forbes Daily Briefing

Forbes

Tech News, Business, News

4.418 Ratings

🗓️ 13 May 2026

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The financial technology industry has become a world of haves and have-nots. Take San Francisco payments company Stripe, which helps millions of merchants accept credit cards, process stablecoin transactions and manage billing tasks. In 2025, it brought in $6.9 billion of net revenue and $1.2 billion of earnings before factoring in interest, tax, depreciation and amortization expenses, according to a person familiar with its finances. Revenues were up more than 30% from 2024. That’s world-class scale and growth, but its recent valuation of $159 billion, which has afforded each of the Collison brothers a $17.5 billion fortune, means its private backers think it’s worth nearly five times Adyen, a Dutch fintech and close competitor. Unlike Stripe, Adyen is publicly traded. It processed $1.6 trillion in payments last year compared with Stripe’s $1.9 trillion. Stripe loyalists will point out that it has more business lines than Adyen and is growing faster off of a larger base. But the chances that Stripe could maintain a $159 billion valuation if it went public today are slim. Public investors value e-commerce platform Shopify at $165 billion, and it grew nearly as fast as Stripe last year and had more than double the profits. A Stripe spokesperson declined to comment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today on Forbes, why an unsustainable bubble is growing inside FinTech.

0:05.1

The financial technology industry has become a world of haves and have-nots.

0:10.2

Take San Francisco Payments Company Stripe, which helps millions of merchants accept credit cards,

0:16.7

process stable coin transactions, and manage billing tasks.

0:28.1

In 2025, it bought in $6.9 billion of net revenue and $1.2 billion of earnings before factoring in interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization expenses.

0:34.4

Revenues were up more than 30% from 2024.

0:43.3

That's world-class scale and growth, but its recent valuation of $159 billion means its private backers think it's worth nearly five times ADYEN, a publicly traded

0:49.3

Dutch fintech and close competitor.

0:52.3

Adien processed $1.9 trillion in payments last year compared with

0:57.5

Stripe's $1.9 trillion. Stripe loyalists point out it has more business lines and is growing

1:03.5

faster off a larger base, but the chances it could maintain a $159 billion valuation if it went

1:10.7

public today are slim.

1:13.2

New York-based corporate card company Ramp is another so-called, quote, have, that carries

1:18.3

a head-scratching price tag.

1:20.8

In September 2025, it announced $1 billion in annualized gross revenue and two months later fetched a $32 billion valuation.

1:30.9

But its gross sales figure doesn't subtract out interchange fees and rewards given back to banks,

1:37.0

partners, and customers.

1:38.6

That means its net revenue is likely at least 40% lower, putting its valuation multiple around 50 or higher,

1:46.2

which is reminiscent of FinTech's 2021 bubble days.

1:50.1

Ramp says it's growing by more than 100% annually and is cash flow positive.

1:55.6

Ramp's rival Brex had 30% less revenue as of September 2025, and in January 26, was valued at $5.15 billion

2:05.0

when Capital One announced it would acquire it.

...

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