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Forbes Daily Briefing

Why AI Stocks Are Giving Some Investors Dotcom Bubble Déjà Vu

Forbes Daily Briefing

Forbes

Careers, Business, News, Entrepreneurship

4.612 Ratings

🗓️ 30 August 2025

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In 2000, internet darling Cisco was the world’s most valuable company. Today it's worth half as much. AI juggernauts like Nvidia and Palantir are driving the tech-bloated S&P 500 today. Buyer beware.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Here's your Forbes Daily Briefing for Saturday, August 30th.

0:05.0

Today on Forbes, why AI stocks are giving some investors.com bubble deja vu.

0:12.0

At the end of the 1990s, there was one narrative on every stockbroker's lips.

0:17.0

The so-called World Wide Web would change everything about our way of life, the way we buy and

0:22.4

sell goods, interact with friends, conduct research, and advance our careers. It would be impossible

0:28.6

to imagine life without it. That narrative has come true on a scale beyond what many imagined,

0:35.0

but it might not feel that way for the investors who bought into

0:37.7

the craze. First, there was the crash in March 2000, which ultimately took the stock market

0:43.0

down 49%. Even worse, had you held on to the 10 largest tech stocks by market capitalization

0:49.6

from the beginning of 2000, all 10 would have lagged the S&P 500 by the end of 2015.

0:57.0

Fast forward to today, and the only stocks that have pulled ahead of the broader market

1:01.0

in that quarter-century span are Microsoft and Oracle.

1:05.0

The rest, names like Cisco, Intel, Qualcomm, and IBM have sorely disappointed investors.

1:13.6

It's a cautionary tale for today's investors, who have bid prices up on the belief that artificial intelligence will revolutionize the world the same way the Internet did.

1:23.1

The information technology sector makes up more than 33% of the S&P 500 index, matching the levels

1:29.5

of the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s.

1:32.8

Semiconductor designer and Vidia alone makes up 8% of the index, thanks to its $4.3 trillion

1:38.9

market cap, up tenfold in three years.

1:42.7

But even if AI is as transformative as most expect,

1:46.3

the stocks that have been the biggest beneficiaries thus far may not be winners in the coming

1:50.6

decades. Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Newport Beach, California-based investment advisor

1:57.1

research affiliates, says, quote, it's important to distinguish between the stocks and the

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