Why AI Isn’t Killing SaaS Yet
The a16z Show
a16z
4.2 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 25 May 2026
⏱️ 40 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is one of the most dynamic markets we've seen, particularly for buying software, where month over month you will see large incumbents be replaced by the newcomers. |
| 0:11.1 | Anthropic just did that with Open AI. Now the most popular model used by businesses, according to ramp data. |
| 0:17.9 | Cursor did that with GitHub co-pilot. My main take is that Caspacalypt as a pronouncement has come way too soon |
| 0:23.7 | and is typically not informed by actual business behavior. |
| 0:26.9 | You're saying that Caspacalypsepocalypse is not in the data. |
| 0:31.0 | I'd say quantitatively neither aspect of Caspacolclipse is supported by actual business spend. |
| 0:36.9 | Neither aspect as in it's going to change the way we buy it. |
| 0:40.2 | Currently it has not in any meaningful way, nor has it killed off, at least the companies |
| 0:45.5 | that are frequently mentioned. |
| 0:48.0 | This episode originally aired on the MTS segment, Monetary Matters. |
| 0:53.1 | For the last two years, the dominant story in software |
| 0:56.2 | has been that AI will wipe out SaaS companies, |
| 0:59.4 | collapse seat-based pricing, |
| 1:01.2 | and centralize everything around a handful of frontier model providers. |
| 1:05.6 | But when you look at actual business spending data, |
| 1:08.3 | that story becomes much harder to defend. |
| 1:16.6 | Many of the fastest-growing AI companies are not model labs themselves, but the infrastructure, workflow, and application layers forming around them. |
| 1:19.6 | At the same time, businesses are increasingly using multiple models, becoming more cost-conscious, |
| 1:25.6 | and experimenting with AI in ways that don't neatly fit |
| 1:28.9 | the prevailing narrative around automation and labor replacement. |
| 1:33.3 | Jack Farley and Max Wheathe speak with Ara Karazian, lead economist at Ramp. |
| 1:41.1 | We have the lead economist from Ramp Economics. |
... |
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