Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261
Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
PHD Ventures
4.8 • 604 Ratings
🗓️ 3 June 2026
⏱️ 93 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | We just saw a story where Demis, |
| 0:02.0 | Asabas, who you know, said 50-50, |
| 0:05.0 | whether we need another breakthrough to get to AGI. |
| 0:08.0 | What do you think? |
| 0:09.0 | Well, I think we need two things. |
| 0:14.0 | So we've made a 75,000 million trillion |
| 0:17.0 | fold increase over this 75 years. But AGI will happen by 2029. The large language |
| 0:24.1 | models have only been effective for the last six months. We're being really affected by the |
| 0:30.1 | exponential growth. A year ago, large language models were okay. Now they're really very effective, |
| 0:39.5 | and we're really going to be able to feel that in the future. If you could send a message back in time to the 1960s or 1970s for how to avoid |
| 0:45.6 | plateaus and just speed up progress toward the singularity, what message would you send back in time? |
| 0:50.9 | I think we have to consider... |
| 0:53.7 | Now that's a moonshot, ladies and gentlemen. |
| 1:02.0 | It's a pleasure to invite everybody to an afternoon with an extraordinary man, Ray Kurzweil with my Moonshot |
| 1:13.9 | mates, my co-author Steven. So, Ray, you've been a mentor, a business partner, a co-author |
| 1:22.4 | for me personally, and just an incredible guide for many of us. |
| 1:30.7 | Rick Kurzweil is called The Relentless Genius by the Wall Street Journal, |
| 1:32.9 | The Ultimate Thinking Machine by Forbes, |
| 1:36.7 | The Rightful Air to Thomas Edison by Inc. Magazine. |
| 1:41.4 | PBS named him as one of the 16 revolutionaries who made America. |
| 1:47.4 | He invented the first CCD flatbed scanner, the first print to speech reading machine for the blind, the first text to speech synthesizer, and the first music synthesizer |
| 1:53.4 | capable of recreating a grand piano. He's a national inventors hall of fame inductee, a National Medal of Technology recipient, |
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