Why a Soft Landing for the Economy Could Be Hard
The Journal.
The Wall Street Journal
4.2 • 5.8K Ratings
🗓️ 20 September 2023
⏱️ 16 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Since last year, the Fed's been trying to stop prices from rising, and it's kind of |
| 0:11.2 | done that. |
| 0:12.2 | Now, the Fed is trying to keep inflation low without causing a recession, something that's |
| 0:19.1 | known as a soft landing. |
| 0:21.6 | Well, hopes of a soft landing pull interview. |
| 0:24.8 | A possibility of a soft landing. |
| 0:26.6 | A soft landing requires that the Fed not land the plane knows down. |
| 0:35.3 | Our colleague, Nick Timmeros, covers the Fed, and I asked him, what do economists mean |
| 0:40.6 | when they say soft landing? |
| 0:43.1 | Soft landing is where you bring inflation down, you slow the economy down without a big |
| 0:50.8 | increase in unemployment, really without a recession. |
| 0:55.0 | How hard is it to do that? |
| 0:57.2 | Well, soft landings are rare. |
| 1:00.0 | They're rare for a reason. |
| 1:01.1 | It's very hard to do that. |
| 1:02.5 | If you look back since World War II, there's really only one time that you could conclusively |
| 1:08.9 | say that we've had a soft landing. |
| 1:12.2 | The way the Fed tries to achieve a soft landing is with interest rates, and a sign that |
| 1:17.1 | it's trying to land the plane is when it stops raising rates, like today. |
| 1:22.9 | The Fed held rates steady, but said there could be one more rate hike this year. |
| 1:28.6 | So the question is, can the Fed pull off a soft landing? |
| 1:36.2 | Someone who's a pilot said to me on Friday, this is like trying to land on a soft field. |
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