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THEMOVE

Who Will Win the Vuelta a España? | OŪTCOMES

THEMOVE

Lance Armstrong

Theforward, Sports & Recreation, Themovepodcast, Lancearmstrong, Arts, Themove, Podcast, Move, Stages, Tourdefrance, Cycling

4.63.8K Ratings

🗓️ 21 August 2025

⏱️ 38 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Johan Bruyneel and Spencer Martin break down the course, contenders, and likely outcomes for both the overall classification of the Vuelta a España and its opening stage, which kicks off this Saturday. They discuss what to expect in the likely GC showdown between Jonas Vingegaard and the UAE duo of João Almeida and Juan Ayuso, as well as the looming stage win battles between Jasper Philipsen and Mads Pedersen, while examining how the race will unfold and who presents the best betting value.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

The thing that is super important in the Vuelta is freshness.

0:04.1

Yeah.

0:04.5

And, you know, it's, we never know how somebody's going to recover from the tour.

0:09.2

Between the tour and the Vuelta, there's not that much time.

0:12.4

It's, you know, physical recovery, mental recovery.

0:15.6

Omeda was in great shape.

0:18.9

He had the crash.

0:20.6

You know, it depends how fast he could train again, but I suspect

0:24.9

it was pretty early. He could train again. And he's mentally and physically fresh. That's a

0:32.8

huge advantage. Hi, I'm Spencer Martin, along with Johann Berniel, and this is Outcomes.

1:13.3

Outcomes is for information on entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this podcast should be considered financial advice. Please gamble responsibly, and if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional resource. Hosts and guests may have financial interests in the bets discussed. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Hey, everybody, welcome back to Outcomes. I'm Spencer Martin. I'm here the Ohan Bernille. We are predicting the 21 stage, Valta Espania, which starts this Saturday in Torino, Italy, confusingly, and runs through September 14th. We'll finish in Madrid. It's the third grand tour of the season. We will also predict the opening stage in Torino on Saturday.

1:24.1

And then after that, we will switch to the Move Plus and we will have a daily stage breakdown show with our outcomes predictions at the end of that show every day.

1:29.0

So if you're listening, watching, just come back to this feed. You'll see us every day of this race. Johan, I'll just give a quick overview of the course and then I'll list the odds about

1:34.6

who the favorites are to win and then we win the overall and we'll predict it and then we'll go to

1:40.0

stage one after that. But as we said, 21 stages, the big highlights are, this is extremely

1:45.9

hard, climb heavy course. For example, there are 11 summit finishes, which is a lot,

1:51.8

like a lot. There are two, as I've, no, there's 10 summit finishes, one like difficult uphill

1:59.8

finish, one less difficult uphill finish on a hilly stage, only three stages that I've classified as a sprint stage, two time trials, one 27 kilometer individual time trial, one 24 kilometer long team time trial.

2:13.5

We're getting that back.

2:14.7

11 stages over 3,000 meters of climbing, three stages over 4,000 meters of climbing, six stages with climbs over 10K in length, and

2:24.1

nine summit finishes over 8 kilometers in length, and two stages over 200 kilometers.

2:30.5

It stays after it leaves Piedmont in Italy.

...

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