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This is the political scene, a weekly conversation with New Yorker writers and editors about

politics. It's Thursday, February 11th. I'm Dorothy Wickenden, executive editor of the New Yorker.

Enough about the candidates. What about the pundits? In November, Nate Silver wrote an article to his colleagues called Dear Media, Stop Freaking

Out about Donald Trump's Polls. Here's Silver on his podcast after Trump's triumph in

New Hampshire this week.

Now, that's not to be kind of in denial of the changed facts. I mean, we definitely are way more bullish on,

way more bullish on Trump's chances than we were a few months ago, even a few weeks ago.

But still, people are kind of pre-writing stories based on the presumption now that Trump will win.

If you were someone who said, yeah, maybe he can do okay in Iowa and New Hampshire,

but we'll have trouble sustaining momentum after that, and then people throw all types of banana peels in his way,

...