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Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

Who Really Pays Trump's Tariffs? New Fed Report Shows Inflation & Mortgage Rate Impact

Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

Kathy Fettke / RealWealth

Investing, Business

4.5546 Ratings

🗓️ 18 February 2026

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A new study is challenging one of the biggest narratives around tariffs — and the implications could directly affect inflation, interest rates, and your real estate portfolio.

Research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York finds that Americans are paying nearly 90% of recent tariffs, not foreign exporters. In other words, higher import taxes are largely flowing through to U.S. consumers and businesses.

Why does that matter?

Because when prices rise, inflation stays elevated. And when inflation runs hot, the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts — keeping mortgage rates higher for longer.

In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down what the data actually says, how tariffs influence Fed policy, and what it means for borrowing costs, housing demand, and real estate investors in 2026.

🏘️  Want to learn more? Visit www.NewsforInvestors.com 

Source: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/ny-fed-report-says-americans-pay-almost-all-trumps-tariffs-2026-02-12/ 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

A new report is challenging one of the biggest claims about tariffs, and it has important implications for inflation, interest rates, and real estate.

0:08.9

I'm Kathy Fedke, and this is Real Estate News for investors.

0:15.7

This is Real Estate News with Kathy Fedke.

0:20.2

A recent study from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York finds that Americans are paying

0:25.3

nearly all of President Trump's recent tariffs on imported goods, not foreign countries.

0:31.3

Tariffs are taxes placed on products brought into the U.S. supporters argue they help protect

0:37.0

American industry, raise government

0:39.0

revenue, and encourage companies to manufacture here at home. The Trump administration has often said

0:44.7

that foreign exporters would absorb much of the cost. But according to the New York Fed's research,

0:50.3

about 90% of those costs are being borne by U.S. consumers and businesses.

0:55.3

The report examined last year's sharp increase in tariffs when the average rate rose from

1:00.0

2.6 to 13%. At one point in the spring, tariffs on Chinese goods were increased as high as

1:06.7

125% before being lowered to 113.

1:11.7

Researchers found that foreign exporters did not significantly reduce their prices to offset

1:16.5

the tariffs.

1:17.8

In economic terms, there was nearly full pass-through, meaning higher tariffs translated directly

1:24.0

into higher import prices paid by Americans.

1:30.4

From January through August, Americans absorbed about 94% of the tariff costs. That figure eased slightly later in the year, but remained well

1:36.8

above 85%. A similar conclusion came from the Congressional Budget Office. The CBO reported that

1:43.7

higher tariffs directly increased the cost of imported Office. The CBO reported that higher tariffs directly

1:45.1

increase the cost of imported goods.

1:47.3

It estimates foreign exporters absorb only about 5% of the cost.

...

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