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BDGE Fantasy Football

Which Fantasy RBs ACTUALLY Have League Winning Upside?

BDGE Fantasy Football

BDGE

Football, Sports News, News, Leisure, Fantasy Sports, Sports

4.8808 Ratings

🗓️ 24 May 2023

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

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Which Fantasy RBs ACTUALLY Have League Winning Upside?


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

What the fuck is up? Welcome back. My name is Noah Hills.

0:03.0

And you can find me on Twitter at Noah More Parties or at noamoreparties.com,

0:08.0

where I rank and write about running backs.

0:12.0

And today, I'm looking for elite fantasy ceilings out of my early round running backs.

0:18.0

These beta cuck fantasy analysts have their models and their metrics and their algorithms

0:26.0

to identify which players to pick and, you know, they're pounding on their abacus.

0:32.2

But that's not me.

0:33.0

I have three easy thresholds that doctors don't want you to know about to help identify

0:38.5

elite fantasy ceilings at Running Back.

0:41.0

Let's get into it.

0:50.5

Since 2013, so in the last decade, the RB 33 of that decade, so essentially, you know, a top

0:59.1

three running back in an average, you know, like the worst top three running back of the last

1:04.0

10 years averaged 20 points per game.

1:06.5

The average RB1, like RB1 overall, averaged 25 points per game.

1:11.6

So if we use those as our thresholds for, you know, elite fantasy ceiling and like league

1:17.2

winning RB1 overall fantasy ceiling, 20 points per game, 25 points per game.

1:23.3

Every running back in the last decade who averaged at least 20 ppr points per game while playing

1:28.4

at least half a season in the last decade reached at least one of these three thresholds.

1:33.0

Number one, 300 carries.

1:35.7

300 carries.

1:36.6

That's a lot of carries.

1:37.6

Number two, 100 targets, also a lot of targets.

...

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