Where ETR Ranks Disagree Most With The Market and WHY (Episode 993 with Adam Levitan, Evan Silva, Justin Herzig, Jack Miller)
Establish The Run Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
4.7 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 2 July 2026
⏱️ 64 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Adam Levitan is joined by Evan Silva, Justin Herzig and Jack Miller to run through the biggest players that ETR has the largest ADP discrepancy on, discussing why they have such a strong stance on the player and why they think the market thinks otherwise.
Links mentioned in the episode:
- ETR’s Top 300 for Half-PPR Leagues
- Underdog ADP Disagreements in the Top 100
- Underdog ADP Disagreements After Pick 100
- Levitan’s Best Ball Player Notes
- Evan Silva’s Top 150 Rankings for 2026 Fantasy Football
Timestamps:
0:00 - Introduction
3:17 - #1 Makai Lemon
7:57 - #2 Jayden Daniels
10:50 - #3 Rome Odunze
14:37 - #4 Omarion Hampton
19:41 - #5 Derrick Henry
23:28 - #6 DJ Moore
26:06 - #7 Garrett Wilson
30:48 - #8 DK Metcalf
33:3§ - #9 Brock Purdy
37:18 - #10 Jordan Addison & Kyler Murray
40:37 - #11 Michael Wilson
45:02 - #12 Josh Allen
49:31 - #13 Quinshon Judkins
51:31 - #14 Brian Thomas Jr.
56:22 - #15 Cooper Kupp
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Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to episode 993 of the official Establish the Run.com podcast. My name is Adam Levittan, and it is July. |
| 0:24.8 | We are rapidly encroaching on peak drafting season. It is time to dive deep into where we think |
| 0:31.6 | the market is wrong about players. To discuss this, we are joined by three young men you know and love from three |
| 0:39.6 | different teams. First up, Evan Silva from the ball knowing team. Evan, how's going today? |
| 0:45.2 | It's going great. I'm up to about 20 drafts under my belt so far. I mean, Herzig's probably |
| 0:50.6 | got 300 and Jack's probably pushing for 100. So I want to hear about how many drafts you guys have done so far as of July 1st, 2026. Well, that you have the right man on because Justin Herzig, king of all best ball virgins, is with us today. Herzig, how many drafts have you done? How's it going? I mean, I think yesterday I did 101, but it's okay. They were |
| 1:11.3 | auto-drafted. There's some strategy behind that guys. Don't worry. But now that it's July, are we no longer virgins? Can we at least like maybe have a little post-courdis? Like, where are we at? Yes. At this point, yes. As we get into July, and once we get past July 4th, I consider it peak drafting season. |
| 1:28.2 | So yes, we're in the clear. |
| 1:29.8 | Anyways, Jack Miller, hopefully you guys are listening to on the Establish the Edge Projection |
| 1:34.4 | shows with Gretch and Mark, highly, highly recommend you tune in to that. |
| 1:39.0 | But Jack Miller from the projections team, how's it going today? |
| 1:41.9 | It's going well. |
| 1:43.1 | I've actually slowed down on drafting since we've |
| 1:46.1 | started that podcast just because I think it's it's really helpful for my process and I hope it's |
| 1:50.5 | helpful for everyone else to talk through everything with Gretch and really formula my takes better |
| 1:55.6 | before I start going really high volume later this month. But I'm excited to be here on a bit of a |
| 2:01.1 | podcasting tear lately, but good to be here on the main ETR feed. All right. On today's show, |
| 2:08.8 | we're going to hopefully answer a lot of your questions. I get messages all the time. |
| 2:14.6 | Adam, why are you guys so high on X player or why are you so low on |
| 2:18.7 | Y player? Today is your lucky day because we are going to look at these spots. Our ETR rankings are |
| 2:25.1 | furthest off average draft position. I want to be clear here that the ETR ranks are a combination |
| 2:33.2 | of our modeling slash algorithms, ball knowing, |
... |
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