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WSJ Opinion: Potomac Watch

Where Does the Election Stand Three Weeks Out?

WSJ Opinion: Potomac Watch

The Wall Street Journal

News, Society & Culture

4.22.8K Ratings

🗓️ 14 October 2024

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The polls show the presidential race is a tossup, with the seven key battleground states all within the margin of error. Has Kamala Harris's momentum stalled, and has Donald Trump reached his ceiling in share of the vote? Plus, who has the edge in the race to control the House and Senate? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

You let him try violin because you love him and if you love him that much love him

0:05.2

enough to make sure he's buckled up and in the back seat find out more at n-H-T-Sa

0:09.4

gosh the right seat brought to you by the National Highway Traffic Safety

0:13.4

Administration and the Ad Council.

0:17.0

From the opinion pages of the Wall Street Journal this is Potomac Watch.

0:24.4

The 2024 election is three weeks away, and where does it stand as Kamala Harris's progress stalled?

0:32.3

And is Donald Trump ahead in the battleground states.

0:35.3

What about the House and the Senate?

0:37.4

We'll break down the horse race three weeks out

0:40.4

and whether you should simply ignore the polls for the rest of this campaign for the sake of your sanity.

0:47.0

Welcome, I'm Paul Gee Go, Wall Street Journal opinion page editor, and I'm here with the Kim Strassal and Kyle Peterson.

0:53.6

So let's take stock here of where we stand in the horse race,

0:57.8

presidential on the real clear politics polling average.

1:00.7

Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump narrowly 48.9% to 47.2.

1:08.0

That's a composite of all recent polls.

1:11.8

But in the seven main battleground states that just about everybody says

1:16.1

will determine the winner, Donald Trump leads in six in the real clear averages,

1:21.9

albeit narrowly the the exception, Wisconsin, where Harris leads by 0.3%,

1:28.5

which is essentially a tie, as the others are all a tie as well as they are one percentage point or less

1:35.4

advantage for Trump in those battlegrounds. The race in short and those polling

1:39.2

surveys is essentially tied. Nonetheless this wouldn't be an election campaign without spin,

1:46.0

so both campaigns issued dueling interpretations of where the race stands over the weekend,

...

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