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Money For the Rest of Us

Where Are Interest Rates Headed Next? Insights from the Jackson Hole Symposium

Money For the Rest of Us

J. David Stein

Investing, Investing Podcast, Business, Economics, Economy

4.5 • 1.4K Ratings

🗓️ 20 September 2023

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Why you might want to lock in higher yields now, given real interest rates are the highest they have been in 15 years.

Topics covered include:

  • What was covered this year at the Federal Reserve Jackson Hole Symposium
  • What are the primary policy actions central banks take, and how do they influence interest rates
  • What is the neutral real rate of interest, and why is it important
  • Why new ideas are central to an increasing standard of living
  • What would drive interest rates higher or lower from current levels
  • Why now is an attractive time to lock in longer-term yields


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Show Notes

Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium: Structural Shifts in the Global Economy—Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Policymaking in an age of shifts and breaks by Christine Lagarde—European Central Bank

Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead by Jerome H. Powell—The Federal Reserve Bank

Structural Shifts in the Global Economy: Structural Constraints on Growth by Chad Syverson—Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

The Outlook for Long-Term Economic Growth by Charles I. Jones—Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Living with High Public Debt by Serkan Arslanalp and Barry Eichengreen—Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Monetary Policy and Innovation by Yueran Ma and Kaspar Zimmermann—Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City



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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Money for the Rest of Us.

0:03.0

This is a personal financial show on Money.

0:05.7

How it works, how to invest it, and how to live without worrying about it.

0:10.2

I'm your host, David Stein, today is episode 448.

0:14.1

It's titled Where Are Interest Rates Headed Next?

0:18.1

Insights from the Jackson Hole Symposium.

0:22.2

Each year in late August, just over the mountains from our cabin in Idaho, the Federal Reserve

0:27.9

Bank of Kansas City host its annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

0:34.6

This prestigious event is attended by central bankers, policy makers, academics, some investors,

0:42.0

and a few journalists.

0:43.6

You need an invite to go.

0:45.1

It's a highly curated list.

0:47.0

Of course, I've never been invited, even though not that far of a drive.

0:51.1

The agenda is very focused.

0:54.2

They'll discuss employment, central bank policy, financial markets, economic growth, and

1:00.5

trade.

1:01.5

In this year's symposium, there are really six sessions or key topics.

1:07.7

That's not including Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech or Christine Lagarde's

1:14.2

Lunch and Speech.

1:15.2

She's the president of the European Central Bank.

1:18.7

The conference is kicked off by the speech by the Federal Reserve Chair.

1:23.5

And the theme on Fridays, a two-day event, was monetary policy and growth, and then on

...

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