The curious case of Anthony Richardson is he all hype or can he be an absolute league winner.

That's what we're talking about on today's episode of stealing banana shorts. I'm Ben Gretchen. You can find my newsletter at benggresh.substack.com. With me, as always, is Sean Siegel. You can find all of his great work over at Rodevis. Let's jump into the discussion. Then you had it just an aside there where we're talking about Carolina and you're like, also Anthony Richardson. So Anthony Richardson is one that could be a big deal.

Understanding this offense is going to be important.

You talked about the pass rate over expectation in some specific games.

Now, one of the concerns that I have with projecting Indianapolis is just that we have so little information and the

information that we have could be very misleading.

In the same way that the explosive touchdown scoring from

Anthony Richardson is not something that can happen on a full season's worth of touches.

We might, I mean, these past rate over-expected games in the first month with a raw prospect

might not give us any window into what they'll do in year two.

But just so people have a good feel for what you're saying, we have week one, 24 for 37,

223 yards passing and a passing touchdown.

Week two, just six for 10, and the injury there.

Week four, 11 for 25. But because you hit on some long passes you

actually get 200 yards and two touchdowns in that game and then the following week the last

one nine for 12 which are the weeks there where the pass rate over expected is low yeah so week

one they come out and they run 69 offensive plays,

which is above average rate. The typical average is about 63 or so, give or take, a play

in, you know, the different seasons. Week one, they run 69 offensive plays, and they do it with a neutral pass rate over

expected, which was their expected pass rate was high.

So their actual pass rate was very high.

68%.

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