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Lectures in History

When Polls Go Bad

Lectures in History

C-SPAN

News, History, Politics

4.2737 Ratings

🗓️ 25 August 2024

⏱️ 62 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

American University Professor Joseph Campbell taught a class on public opinion and election forecasting. He spoke about some of the most significant polling misses in American politics. American University is located in Washington, D.C. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello, I'm Shannon, the podcast producer here at C-SPAN.

0:10.0

This week, American University professor Joseph Campbell, teaches a class on public opinion and election forecasting.

0:16.5

He speaks about some of the most significant polling misses in American politics.

0:31.6

Hi, I'm Susan Swain. Campaign 2024 has evolved in some unexpected ways, and from now until Election Day, C-SPAN promises you unfiltered coverage of the candidates as they battle to win the White

0:37.3

House and Congress.

0:39.1

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0:48.9

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1:10.8

Help ensure that C-SPAN's unique, long-form coverage of politics is here to stay.

1:16.1

Visit c-span.org backslash donate.

1:19.1

Thank you for watching and thanks so much for your support. Good morning, everybody. A warm welcome to everyone today. It's good to see you all.

1:36.0

Today we're going to take up the long and fitful, uneasy relationship between the news media and election polling.

1:45.0

We'll consider a number of specific cases today in the context of presidential elections that, for whatever reason, the polls didn't get right.

1:56.0

The polls went wrong. And we'll also consider factors that may explain the easing of poll bashing among American journalists.

2:06.6

Much of the content in today's lecture is drawn from my most recent book,

2:12.6

Lost in a Gallup, polling failure in US presidential elections.

2:18.3

And here are some names that we're going to be mentioning

2:21.3

during the next bit of time.

2:24.5

Edward R. Murrow, he was a legendary broadcast journalist

...

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