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TechCheck

What Youtube means for Netflix and WBD, Plus Nvidia’s H200 roadblock 12/9/25

TechCheck

CNBC

Management, Cnbc, Tech, Faang, Investing, Business, Disruptors, Technology

4.566 Ratings

🗓️ 9 December 2025

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Netflix’s Co-CEOs telling investors they are confident that the WBD deal will close, citing competitors like Youtube as possible regulatory cover. Plus, a look at Trump’s H200 export decision, and what it means for Nvidia future in the China chip market.

Transcript

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0:00.0

The co-CEOs of Netflix telling investors yesterday, they're, quote, super confident the deal with Warner Brothers Discovery will close, citing market share against streamers as a key reason.

0:14.4

Our Deirdre Du Boas is digging into that for today's tech check. This is a little complex but important to understand, Dee.

0:20.1

It is. So you're right, Carl.

0:21.7

Regulators, they're going to fixate on the giant that Netflix and Warner Brothers would create.

0:25.6

But the real outlier is YouTube, and it may actually be Netflix's best shot at getting a deal through.

0:31.5

Regulators, they work off of a narrower definition of the market, premium scripted content.

0:36.6

So that's movies, series, studios, sports rights.

0:39.0

And under that framework, Netflix and WBD, they look like two of the biggest players merging into one.

0:43.9

Now, YouTube doesn't show up in that analysis because it's user-generated video.

0:48.3

That's considered a different product category.

0:50.4

But measured by Nielsen, YouTube is the single biggest TV distributor in the country.

0:55.7

And that gap between regulatory definition and actual viewing behavior, that's exactly what

1:00.5

Netflix is trying to exploit here. Here's the co-CEO, Greg Peters, at the UBS conference yesterday

1:06.5

on what happens to the market if they were to get HBO.

1:10.6

We go from 8% of view hours today in the United States to 9%.

1:15.2

So we're still behind YouTube at 13%.

1:17.8

And potentially worth noting that we would be behind what would be if Paramount combined with WBD,

1:24.6

them at 14%.

1:26.7

So we think that there's a really strong fundamentals-based case here for why regulators

1:32.2

should approve this deal.

1:34.3

So that's the crux of the Netflix argument.

1:36.9

If the biggest distributor in TV is already YouTube, then combining with WBD, it doesn't

...

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