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Hello and welcome to a special Saturday edition of Coffee House Shots.

I'm Katie Cools, and I'm joined by Fraser Nelson, James Recife and James Johnson.

With the Bank of England predicting what could be a two-year recession

which would cover the majority, if not all, of Rishi-Soonak's Premiership for going to the polls.

What can the Prime Minister realistically achieve or have to show by the time of the next election?

James Johnson, two kick things off, can you just give us a sense of where public opinion is

when it comes to Rishi-Soonak and also the Conservative Party?

There's a very large divide opening up in the polls between views of the Conservative Party,

which remains very negative in the wake of Liz Trust's Premiership,

and Rishi-Soonak, who actually voters tentatively quite like.

His approval rating is positive with some pollsters.

He's ahead of Kirstama with Redfield and Wilton strategies,

and he's close to Kirstama in the U-Gov poll.

And that's also reflected in the focus groups.

People are very negative about the government overall, but quite positive about the Prime Minister.

So the big question is, which of those is a better indicator?

My sense is that the PM numbers are the key ones to look out for,

because so much of how the public view politics is through the prism of the leader.

When I ask them why focus groups, what do you feel about the Conservatives, how do you feel about Labour?

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