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Marketplace All-in-One

What U.S. tariffs could mean for the U.S. economy

Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace

Business, News

4.51.4K Ratings

🗓️ 31 March 2025

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This morning, global markets are cratering after President Donald Trump said that new tariffs set to be announced this week will impact essentially all countries. Meanwhile, a key inflation gauge came in hotter than expected on Friday, and consumers have become increasingly cautious about spending. All of this has investors worried. Plus, the host of Marketplace’s “Financially Inclined” podcast joins the show to discuss what you need to know before starting your own business.

Transcript

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0:00.0

More tariffs, more fear in markets from Marketplace.

0:06.2

I'm Sabri Beneshore in for David Brancaccio.

0:08.5

President Trump over the weekend said new tariffs set to be announced this week

0:11.9

will cover basically all countries.

0:14.2

These are what the administration has been calling reciprocal tariffs.

0:18.0

Global markets are down this morning, and investors here in the U.S. are worried, too.

0:21.0

Futures are pointing to a lower open. Marketplace, the Nova Sappho has more.

0:24.9

Whatever tariffs are announced this week, they'll come on top of other import taxes already announced,

0:30.4

on vehicles, steel and aluminum, Chinese goods, and on a portion of the trade coming from Mexico and Canada.

0:36.6

All of this has investors worried not just about policy uncertainty, but about how many blows the U.S. economy can take.

0:43.6

Analysts at Goldman Sachs just increased the probability of a recession over the next 12 months from 20% to 35%. That's because data is piling up, showing consumers are increasingly worried and becoming more cautious with their spending.

0:57.5

Meanwhile, a key inflation gauge on Friday came in hotter than expected, which means prices could keep rising faster than experts want, even as the economy slows.

1:07.8

All of this has investors fleeing for perceived safer havens, such as gold, where prices

1:13.0

have risen at their quickest pace in nearly 40 years, and bonds, where higher prices are sending

1:18.2

yields lower. Ironically, that could be good news in the short term for those looking to take out

1:23.5

a home loan or buy a car as falling treasury yields push down consumer interest rates. I'm

1:29.7

Novosafa for Marketplace. President Trump is also threatening more tariffs if Russian President

1:34.7

Vladimir Putin prevents a ceasefire deal with Ukraine from going through. These tariffs wouldn't be

1:40.2

on Russia itself. They would be on goods coming into the U.S. from other countries that buy

1:45.9

Russian oil. Trump told NBC's meet the press these tariffs would be between 25 and 50 percent. Up next, are you thinking of starting your own business?

2:21.2

In the last five years since the beginning of the pandemic, there's been a burst of entrepreneurship.

2:26.1

Last year, there were 5.2 million new business applications in the U.S.

...

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