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Curiosity Weekly

What to Do When You Make the Wrong Decision (w/ Annie Duke)

Curiosity Weekly

Warner Bros. Discovery

Science

4.6 • 964 Ratings

🗓️ 18 November 2020

⏱️ 14 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

First, Annie Duke will explain what to do when you make the wrong decision. Then you’ll learn why we may want to think about recycling our poop, and about misophonia, a true hatred for certain sounds.

Additional resources from decision strategist Annie Duke:

We recycle cardboard and aluminum, but not our poop by Cameron Duke

Misophonia: a true hatred for certain sounds by Anna Todd

  • Kumar, S., Tansley-Hancock, O., Sedley, W., Winston, J. S., Callaghan, M. F., Allen, M., Cope, T. E., Gander, P. E., Bamiou, D.-E., & Griffiths, T. D. (2017). The Brain Basis for Misophonia. Current Biology, 27(4), 527–533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2016.12.048
  • Potgieter, I., MacDonald, C., Partridge, L., Cima, R., Sheldrake, J., & Hoare, D. J. (2019). Misophonia: A scoping review of research. Journal of Clinical Psychology, 75(7), 1203–1218. https://doi.org/10.1002/jclp.22771
  • Daniels, E. C., Rodriguez, A., & Zabelina, D. L. (2020). Severity of misophonia symptoms is associated with worse cognitive control when exposed to misophonia trigger sounds. PLOS ONE, 15(1), e0227118. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0227118

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Find episode transcript here: https://curiosity-daily-4e53644e.simplecast.com/episodes/what-to-do-when-you-make-the-wrong-decision-w-annie-duke

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi, you're about to get smarter in just a few minutes with Curiosity Daily from Curiosity.com.

0:07.0

I'm Ashley Hamer.

0:08.0

And I'm Natalia Reagan. Today, Annie Duke is back to explain what you do when you make the wrong decision.

0:14.0

Then you'll learn why we may want to think about recycling our poop,

0:18.0

and about misophonia, a true hatred for certain sounds.

0:22.0

Let's satisfy some curiosity. I don't know about you, but when

0:26.1

I'm facing a big choice, I'm terrified of making the wrong decision. But today's guest

0:32.0

says most people's idea of a wrong decision. But today's guest says most people's idea of a wrong decision is totally off the mark,

0:37.1

and knowing that can help you know what to do when your choice does lead to a bad outcome. Annie Duke is a world champion poker professional who since become an author, corporate speaker,

0:48.0

and a consultant on decision-making.

0:50.0

Her new book is called How to Decide, simple tools for making better choices.

0:55.0

I asked her, what do you do when you make the wrong decision?

0:59.0

Well, first of all, it depends a little bit on what you define as wrong. So I think that one of the things that we do is we confuse like an outcome that we don't like with making a wrong decision. And that's not true. It's like if you ordered the chicken and it's dry, it's not a wrong decision.

1:17.0

It's the chicken was dry and that was in the set of possibilities and you kind of knew that at the time that you ordered it but you decided that you know all things being equal you'd rather have that than the fish it doesn't make it a mistake now that seems like a silly little tiny decision but we end up making that particular error a lot where we just think oh it was a bad

1:36.0

outcome so therefore it must have been a mistake. One of the most famous examples is

1:39.2

actually from 2016 when Hillary Clinton lost Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, to this day everybody's saying she made a really big mistake in those three states.

1:48.0

But when you look at what the polls were saying at the time, the polls were saying, no, you're really safe in those states. Do we know in retrospect that

1:56.3

there was a polling error? We absolutely do. But those polling errors you find out

2:00.6

about after the fact. So I would agree that it was a huge mistake if there were lots of people

2:05.5

writing about, oh, you know, I think there's a polling error and she's not spending enough time in Pennsylvania,

2:10.5

Wisconsin and Michigan. In other words, if it was something that other people could obviously see,

2:15.0

and she was ignoring it, I would agree it was a horrible mistake.

...

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