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The Warning with Steve Schmidt

What The Polls Say Us About The 2024 Election | A Conversation with Greg Strimple & Patrick Toomey

The Warning with Steve Schmidt

iHeartPodcasts

Politics, Government, News

4.61.1K Ratings

🗓️ 15 October 2024

⏱️ 66 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

With just 3 weeks to go until Election Day, the race is tighter than ever before. Steve Schmidt sat down with pollsters Patrick Toomey (Partner at Benenson Strategy Group) and Greg Strimple (President at GS Strategy Group) to break down what the the latest polls are saying. Subscribe for more and follow me here: Substack: https://steveschmidt.substack.com/subscribe Twitter: https://twitter.com/SteveSchmidtSES Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SteveSchmidtSES/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thewarningses Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewarningses/

Transcript

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0:00.0

There are three weeks to go, 21 days left until America decides.

0:04.6

It chooses the 47th president of the United States.

0:08.2

I'm thrilled today to be joined by Greg Stripple and Patrick Toomey, two veteran pollsters.

0:14.3

Greg, a Republican, Patrick, a Democrat.

0:17.1

Both are more experienced than I could hope to name in the course of an hour between the presidential campaigns, U.S. Senate, governors' races, House races, ballot initiatives, corporate initiatives, and everything in between.

0:33.4

They are the two pollsters right now leading the bipartisan, nonpartisan, Cook Political Reports

0:40.7

assessment of where the race stands.

0:43.5

This has always been the gold standard amongst all of the polls.

0:48.8

This is the one that the pros look at.

0:51.3

This is the one that the people who are investing oodles of money look at as you come

0:56.6

down to the stretch to exactly where does the race stand. No bullshit, no BS, no leaning on the numbers,

1:05.6

no false methodologies, just the science of public opinion research.

1:11.6

So let me just welcome Greg and Patrick.

1:14.6

Thank you for joining me today.

1:15.6

Thank you for having us.

1:17.6

Thank you.

1:18.6

I'm somebody who has sat in the room and listened to a lot of pollsters around the table, give their take on the race and on the numbers.

1:31.9

And when you're sitting in a campaign around the table, there's a lot of egos at play.

1:39.0

Now there's the data guys at play, and everybody is sitting there.

1:43.0

And so before we get into this discussion and what

1:49.2

polling is and what it's not, which I'm going to turn over you guys to explain. And my hope is you

1:56.7

do it as brilliantly as you did on the Politico podcast with Eugene Daniels. But for everybody

...

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