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The Reason Interview With Nick Gillespie

What the Media Gets Wrong About Crime

The Reason Interview With Nick Gillespie

The Reason Interview With Nick Gillespie

Politics, News

4.7750 Ratings

🗓️ 4 February 2026

⏱️ 63 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Crime analyst Jeff Asher explains the historic decline in murders, why Americans distrust crime statistics, and what the data actually show about public safety.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is the reason interview where we go deep with the artists, entrepreneurs, politicians, and visionaries,

0:05.8

who are making the 21st century more libertarian, or at least more interesting, by challenging worn-out ideas and orthodoxies.

0:14.0

I'm Billy Binion, guest hosting for Nick Gillespie.

0:16.6

Our guest this week is Jeff Asher, a nationally recognized crime data analyst and former CIA

0:22.0

employee who now leads the firm AH Datalytics.

0:25.2

Asher, who also publishes a substack, Jeff Illytics, has made a name for himself documenting

0:30.2

crime trends city to city across the country.

0:33.0

During our conversation, we discussed the substantial crime decline we've seen over the last

0:37.0

couple of years,

0:37.9

what people and the media get wrong about the crime debate, and potential reasons why

0:41.9

2025 may have just seen the lowest murder rate ever recorded. And now, the reason

0:47.7

interview with Jeff Asher. Jeff Asher, thank you for talking to Reason. Thanks for having me.

0:55.0

So you are one of the more meticulous crime analysts out there right now.

1:00.0

You, you know, I've used your data many a time you document crime trends, city to city.

1:06.0

And so I want to start kind of broad and ask, what do you think people most get wrong about crime, especially when

1:13.4

considering that the subject, you know, it attracts a lot of public attention?

1:19.9

So I think two things.

1:23.3

One is that we've sort of created a feedback loop typically where either crime is rising or the data is wrong.

1:36.2

And so I think that typically it creates a lack of willingness or a desire.

1:43.2

I don't know, desire is probably too strong a word but

1:45.2

just a general sense that that crime is usually going up and things are usually getting worse

1:52.4

and sometimes that's true and I'm the first one to talk about it when it is but frequently

...

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