What’s Next for 2023?
Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 7 July 2023
⏱️ 39 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Will the credit crunch ever come? Motley Fool Money starts now. |
| 0:09.0 | Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money. |
| 0:29.0 | This is Motley Fool Money. |
| 0:39.0 | It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. |
| 0:45.0 | I'm Dylan Lewis joining me in studio. |
| 0:49.0 | Motley Fool's Senior Analyst Jason Moser and Matt Argersinger. |
| 0:53.0 | Great to have you both here. |
| 0:57.0 | We got an update on unemployment numbers and employment numbers this week from two different sources. |
| 1:07.0 | I have to say trying to pay attention to these numbers at a little bit of whiplash. |
| 1:11.0 | You're not the only one, Dylan. |
| 1:13.0 | It was like a head fake on Thursday when the ADP came out, which is all about private sector jobs. |
| 1:17.0 | They reported a job growth of almost 500,000. |
| 1:21.0 | We're setting up for Friday's labor report thinking, wow, okay, we might get a big number there too. |
| 1:25.0 | The labor department came out with a report that showed payroll numbers rose just 209,000. |
| 1:31.0 | That's actually the lowest number since way back in December 2020. |
| 1:35.0 | There's a methodology difference between the ADP and the labor department ADP is looking at actual paychecks, labor departments more of a survey. |
| 1:45.0 | Over time, these numbers tend to converge. |
| 1:49.0 | If you look at the first six months of the year going by just the BLS numbers, which also includes some downward revisions, |
| 1:55.0 | we're now showing an average monthly gain, job gain of 278,000. |
| 1:59.0 | Still pretty strong, but that's actually down a lot from almost 400,000, the 400,000 monthly average we had for the first six months of 2022. |
| 2:09.0 | There is a slowing happening in employment. |
| 2:11.0 | We're starting to see that. |
... |
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