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The Indicator from Planet Money

What nails can tell us about the economy

The Indicator from Planet Money

NPR

Business

4.79.5K Ratings

🗓️ 13 January 2022

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Despite being fairly simple items, nails can actually reveal a lot about the greater economy. Today, we talk to economist Dan Sichel about the history of nails and what they can teach us about economic trends.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

NPR.

0:11.5

Here at the indicator, we spend a lot of time looking at big numbers. Jobs numbers,

0:16.9

gross domestic product, rate of inflation, markets, oil prices. But sometimes it's the

0:22.2

smallest, simplest things that can give you the greatest insight into an economy.

0:27.8

After the humble nail.

0:30.3

So nails provide this really interesting window and economic change.

0:34.5

This is Dan Sickle, a professor of economics at Welsley College. He's also worked at the

0:38.9

Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve. And he's just written a paper called The Price

0:43.3

of Nails Since 1695, a window into economic change. To be clear, he's talking about nails

0:49.9

as in hammer and nails. And he says he focused on the nail because it's kind of unique.

0:57.6

One reason why is because nails themselves haven't changed very much. So it is quite

1:03.3

possible to do long period comparisons. So for instance, it's much harder to say compare

1:09.2

cars over 100 years because the 1908 Model T is just so different from a recent Tesla.

1:14.7

But nails haven't actually changed that much. You could see a nail made in 1695 and it

1:19.7

would be very recognizable as a nail today. But the process for making nails has changed

1:25.3

dramatically as they went from being made by a nail smith or a blacksmith one at a time

1:31.5

to being churned out by thousands of minute by modern machines.

1:37.7

This is the indicator from Planet Money. I'm Stacy Vannixmith. Today on the show, nails.

1:43.0

With the price of nails since 1695 can tell us about the U.S. economy, trade, wages,

1:48.6

activity. Also, why you should never park too close to a home depot.

1:56.4

This message comes from NPR, sponsor Fundrise, a platform that makes investing in high-end

2:01.1

real estate easy. You tell Fundrise your investing goals and Fundrise puts your money into the

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