5 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 10 December 2025
⏱️ 24 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | What I'd like to do today is talk about what we need to look out for over the next 24 months |
| 0:06.2 | with the AI build-out, with all of the things that are going on in the deployment of AI, |
| 0:12.3 | how people are feeling about it, all of the tensions, all of the potential crises and the |
| 0:18.2 | potential wins. Now, two years is a particularly difficult time |
| 0:24.4 | to shoot for. So I am really hanging myself out because everyone can predict the next week |
| 0:30.4 | and you can kind of predict the next 20 years. But I'm going to be brave and talk about those |
| 0:34.5 | two years. Readers will know that I've talked a little bit about this in |
| 0:38.5 | the newsletter, so go back and look at those essays. In short, this is all about absorption. This is |
| 0:45.1 | all about the extent to which AI can be absorbed in the economy, in our world? Are companies absorbing artificial intelligence fast enough? |
| 0:58.3 | Can the electrical and power systems absorb all the new demand from the data centers? Is the |
| 1:04.4 | economy absorbing any benefits at all? And do people, do society, do us, do we want to absorb AI all the things it brings |
| 1:15.2 | with us at the speed with which it is emerging? So let's just step through each of those questions |
| 1:23.1 | of absorption. You know, on the firm, I've written a lot about this over the last few months, |
| 1:29.6 | weeks and months. Are companies really making use of this technology at all? And I think we can |
| 1:34.8 | even step back a layer and say, are people really using these technologies in any meaningful |
| 1:41.8 | sense? You know, we talk about 800 million people using chat |
| 1:45.1 | GPT. We talk about a couple of billion using these chatbots globally. But are we using |
| 1:52.2 | it the way that we've used other technologies when we talk about them being deployed, like the |
| 1:57.3 | flush toilet or electricity? Is it really use of one of these technologies if you just put |
| 2:04.7 | the odd query into it rather than Google, but your life remains largely the same? I mean, |
| 2:10.0 | it's almost trivially easy to put a product in the hands of tens of thousands, hundreds of |
| 2:14.3 | thousands, millions of people because of the app store, because of iPhones. And perhaps when we think about where we are in absorption, we need to go beyond |
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