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Hello and welcome to the Americano podcast, a series of discussions about American politics and life.

My name is Freddie Gray. I'm the deputy editor of the spectator.

I am delighted to be joined by Galen Drook, who is the host of the 538 politics podcast for ABC News.

And we're going to be talking yet again about the midterms, because this is the big story in the American news at the moment and in American politics at the moment.

And there is just over a week to go, Caden.

The story of the last few weeks, which we've covered a bit on Americana, has been that Republicans are gaining in the polls.

The Democrats had a pretty good summer, it seemed. They seem to be

changing the race, both in the Senate and in the House, to a certain extent. And that narrative has now

sort of faded a little bit, and we're hearing a lot more talk about the economy being the

major issue, and Republicans win on the economy. Let me ask you, first of all,

as someone who's very plugged into this, what are you seeing in the latest polls? Are we seeing

that trend continuing in favor of the Republicans? I think that it's stabilized a bit.

We saw over the span of about a week or so, our forecast at 538 go from, you know,

Democrats having about a two and three chance of winning the Senate to about a 50-50 proposition.

We saw Republicans' odds of taking the House go from about a 70% chance to greater than an 80%

chance. Things have stabilized a bit at this point,

and in recent days, that those numbers have been about the same. And I think what's important

to keep in mind here is that when we look at broad historical trends of what happens during a midterm, we see that

the party out of power generally does quite well. There are a couple examples of that not

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