What if the cost of capital never rises again? (Josh with Ben)
The Compound and Friends
Josh Brown
4.7 • 2.2K Ratings
🗓️ 14 June 2019
⏱️ 16 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | I am on with Ben Carlson and Ben and I going to talk about this post I wrote and the gist of it and we'll link to it but the gist of it is that |
| 0:11.0 | value stocks have underperformed for 10 years and my take on one of the major reasons why is that |
| 0:19.6 | capital has been so inexpensive that new companies have been able to |
| 0:25.0 | able to raise money easily come along and be extremely disruptive |
| 0:29.0 | to incumbent businesses that have all of these physical assets like plants and |
| 0:34.5 | facilities and employees and office space but they've just been completely |
| 0:41.0 | blindsided and what that's done in the stock market is it's |
| 0:46.0 | favored recurring revenue asset like business models that are now the biggest market caps in |
| 0:52.2 | the world and it's been very negative for companies |
| 0:56.7 | that have spent the last 50 years building up the things that appear in book value for example then would you say I'm describing |
| 1:06.7 | yeah and in your your description is interesting and I want to take it like one step further |
| 1:11.1 | because I think it's the question you asked and you said that you |
| 1:13.9 | went to a dinner with William Bernstein and went on the table and asked well what is the one thing |
| 1:18.6 | that no one's really thinking about and he said what happens if the cost of capital never rises again. |
| 1:24.0 | This is something I've thought about before. |
| 1:26.2 | So you put it in terms of value and growth, and I think you're obviously right, but my question |
| 1:31.3 | is, let's say he is right from here what does that mean going |
| 1:34.3 | forward so there isn't there is precedent for this so I looked from |
| 1:38.1 | 1924 to 1959 the 10-year never really got out of a 2 to 4% range. |
| 1:43.0 | So let's say the last 10 years of interest rates does sort of go forward for another few decades. |
| 1:50.0 | What does that mean to the economy? |
| 1:52.0 | Wait wait, wait, wait, wait wait the 10 year yield was trapped between 2 and 4 |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Josh Brown, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of Josh Brown and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

