Good morning. Welcome to Axios today. I'm Naila Boodoo. It's October 30th and we're so close to the finish line.

The election we started with looks almost nothing like the election we got.

So with just four days to go, we wanted to do something a little different this morning.

Maybe you've heard this election will be decided by suburban women or

Latino voters in Florida or that the pandemic changed everything or was it the

Black Lives Matter protests?

Consider what you're about to hear, not just a reality check,

but a way to think about the election result we are all about to witness.

With me, are three people who have the answers.

We've got our very own Margaret Talib, Exios' White House and Politics editor.

Hi Margaret.

Hey, Ayla, thanks for letting me be part of this.

Chris Jackson is a senior vice president of ipsoe polling.

Thank you for joining us, Chris.

It's great to be with you.

And Mark Hugo Lopez is director of Global Migration and Demography Research at Pew. Good morning, Mark. is

good morning Mark.

Good morning. Chris I wanted to start with you and ask you how much of a difference you think the

pandemic has made and who people are voting for.

Well I think the pandemic is very clearly the top issue for voters and it has very much changed

the trajectory of this election.

At the start of the year, Donald Trump looked like the favorite to win a

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