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The Ezra Klein Show

Welcome to the ‘Take This Job and Shove It’ Economy

The Ezra Klein Show

New York Times Opinion

Society & Culture, Government, News

4.611K Ratings

🗓️ 18 June 2021

⏱️ 54 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This is a strange moment in the economy. Wages are up, but so is inflation. Jobs are growing, but maybe not fast enough. Quit rates are at a 21st-century high. It isn’t clear what’s a trend, what’s a blip, what’s a transition and what’s now normal. And all this as the virus continues to stalk us and we process the trauma of the last 18 months. “We all will have various times in our life where we’ll stop and say, ‘Whoa — am I going in the right direction? Is this the right occupation for me? Should I do something differently?’” says Betsey Stevenson. “But I can’t think of any other time when it’s been a correlated shock across the entire country, where we’ve all been faced — no, forced — to ask questions.” Stevenson is an economist, and a highly accomplished one at that. She served as the chief economist of Barack Obama’s Department of Labor and later a member of Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers. Now she’s a professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan, as well as co-host of the podcast “Think Like an Economist.” She has a rare talent to blend a rigorous approach to labor market economics with a recognition that people — our psychologies and fears and dreams — matter, and they shape our economic decisions. Particularly now. So I invited Stevenson on the show to discuss the big picture of what’s happening right now in the U.S. economy — wages, employment, inflation and the animal spirits driving much of it. She didn’t disappoint. I came away from this conversation far less confused than when I walked into it. Mentioned in this episode: “The Jobs Report Takeaway: A Huge Reallocation of People and Work Is Underway” by Betsey Stevenson “Examining the uneven and hard-to-predict labor market recovery” by Lauren Bauer, Arindrajit Dube, Wendy Edelberg, and Aaron Sojourner “Why we got more inflation than I expected” by Matt Yglesias “Do Hiring Headaches Imply a Labor Shortage?” by Paul Krugman Recommendations: Klara and the Sun by Kazuo Ishiguro The Undercover Economist Strikes Back by Tim Hartford Career and Family by Claudia Goldin If you enjoyed this episode, check out our previous podcast “Employers Are Begging for Workers. Maybe That’s a Good Thing” with Cornell political scientist Jamila Michener You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of "The Ezra Klein Show" at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at [email protected]. “The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Annie Galvin, Jeff Geld and Rogé Karma; fact-checking by Michelle Harris; original music by Isaac Jones; mixing by Jeff Geld, audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Special thanks to Kristin Lin.

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Mr. Klein and this is the Ezra Klein Show.

0:20.0

If you're following the economy closely right now, you are caught in a morass.

0:23.9

I feel caught in a morass of these really contradictory stories.

0:28.4

You have panic about labor shortages right alongside celebrations of rising wages.

0:32.8

Dire warnings of runaway inflation and they'll like look over on the page and comforting

0:37.8

assurances that were on a path towards a full employment economy.

0:41.4

Finally, there's all this anger and policy making and reaction to unemployment benefits

0:47.4

that some feel are letting people lazily refuse to take jobs.

0:52.0

Alongside genuine relief, the people can wait to choose a job that works for them and

0:56.7

their family that can refuse a job that would put them at risk.

1:01.1

I wanted to do an episode trying to draw the big picture of what is happening right now

1:06.4

in the US economy.

1:07.8

Look at the wage data, the employment data, the inflation data, the psychology of it, all

1:12.8

of it.

1:13.8

I knew who I wanted to talk to for it.

1:16.3

Betsy Stevenson served as chief economist of Brock Obama's Department of Labor.

1:20.1

She was a member of Obama's Council of Economic Advisors.

1:23.9

She's now a professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan and

1:27.3

co-host the podcast Think Like An Economist.

1:30.4

Something I appreciate about Stevenson is she blends really rigorous empirical economic

1:36.0

analysis.

1:37.0

I mean, no one is deeper in labor market data than she is with a humane attention to the

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