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The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

Weekly Review With Clay and Buck H3 - Steve Hilton for CA Gov

The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

iHeartPodcasts

News, News Commentary, Society & Culture, Daily News, Politics

4.511.4K Ratings

🗓️ 18 October 2025

⏱️ 37 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Hour 3 of The Clay Travis & Buck Sexton Show dives deep into the latest political trends, election forecasts, and cultural flashpoints shaping America. The hour kicks off with guest Ryan Girdusky, host of It’s a Numbers Game, analyzing key battleground races in Virginia and New Jersey. Ryan breaks down polling data, prediction markets, and enthusiasm gaps, explaining why Virginia’s attorney general race could swing Republican even if Democrats hold the governorship. He also highlights New Jersey’s tightening gubernatorial contest, where GOP candidate Jack Ciattarelli faces an uphill battle despite strong independent support and a notable enthusiasm gap among Democratic voters.

The conversation shifts to House and Senate control, with Ryan outlining how upcoming Supreme Court rulings on the Voting Rights Act could reshape congressional maps and make it nearly impossible for Democrats to reclaim the House. He warns that striking down Section 2 would trigger aggressive GOP redistricting across Southern states, fundamentally altering the political landscape.

Next, the show pivots to New York City politics, dissecting Andrew Cuomo’s struggling mayoral campaign and why his failure to court Republican voters could cost him the race. Ryan argues Cuomo’s lackluster strategy stems from decades of unchallenged political dominance, leaving him ill-prepared for a competitive contest.  Cultural commentary takes center stage as Clay and Buck discuss Hollywood’s shifting attitudes, spotlighting Keira Knightley’s response to questions about the Harry Potter boycott over J.K. Rowling’s views on gender issues. Her dismissive laugh signals growing fatigue with woke orthodoxy, even among celebrities.

The hour also features a fiery interview with Steve Hilton, Republican candidate for California governor. Hilton slams Gavin Newsom’s leadership, exposing California’s deep problems—highest poverty and unemployment rates, worst public school performance, soaring taxes, and a broken housing system. He contrasts Newsom’s rosy stump speech touting California’s size and economic clout with harsh realities like wildfire recovery failures and bureaucratic gridlock. Hilton vows to reverse far-left policies, including laws allowing biological men in women’s sports, and calls on listeners nationwide to support his campaign.

Finally, Clay and Buck engage listeners with humorous talkbacks on everyday fears—like choking alone at home—adding a relatable, lighthearted close to an hour packed with political insight and cultural critique.

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is an I-Heart podcast.

0:04.8

Welcome, everybody.

0:05.9

Third hour of Clay and Buck kicks off now.

0:08.0

Our friend Ryan Gurdowski is with us.

0:10.6

He has a great podcast.

0:11.8

It's a numbers game out of the Clay and Buck Podcast Network.

0:14.4

You're going to impress your friends with all of the data and insights and insidery political stuff out there.

0:23.0

You got to check out it's a numbers game with our friend Ryan.

0:25.2

Mr. Gergdusky, great to have you.

0:27.8

Thank you for having me.

0:29.5

Let's start with this.

0:31.5

Are we seeing increased weakness on the Democrat side and hopefulness for Winsome Sears and Jason Mayer.

0:41.4

I want to focus on Virginia first here.

0:43.9

The Jay Jones situation coupled with, who's the guy that wrote the text about how he wanted a Republican and his family and his kids to die.

0:52.5

And then you got that situation. And then the Spamberger running around refusing to talk about J. Jones and also refusing to speak clearly about the trans issue.

1:04.3

Is this having an impact, or is it status quo in that election, which is going to be decided in just a couple weeks?

1:10.6

So, I mean, all we have is just polling to go on. Remember, Virginia does not register voters

1:15.3

by party, so we can estimate where voters are coming from, how they vote in the last election,

1:21.4

but that doesn't really tell us an enormous amount of information. We just have polls. There have been

1:26.0

two polls. They're both from right-leaning firms that

1:28.4

examine how they look. One was from a poll called Signal. They are decently accurate. They have a

1:33.7

good reputation. They have Miara's up by two points leading in. And then there's Trafalgar.

...

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