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PFT Live with Mike Florio

Week 4 NFL Picks: "Best bets! (oh god)"

PFT Live with Mike Florio

Mike Florio

Sports

4.31.6K Ratings

🗓️ 29 September 2022

⏱️ 57 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Chris (@CSimmsQB) was let down by his favorite team last week, but at least he didn't streak naked in the Meadowlands parking lot (we think). Meanwhile, Mike (@ProFootballTalk) is owning his Best (Worst?) Bets record.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

I will be ready to mobilize Miles Simmons or Shereen Williams for Tuesday morning because Chris is sick.

0:11.0

Chris has the slew woke up naked in the middle. That's parking lot all sorts of.

0:16.0

We're going streaking.

0:20.0

Well, none of those things happened. Christopher made it. He survived and we are here for another addition at the joint mega picks podcast.

0:29.0

Maybe I went streaking. You don't know. You don't know. I think you probably would have been arrested or it would have been like a UFO sighting like big giant white person naked store running around like it would have been.

0:44.0

It would have been something that would have resulted in a police report other than the usual streaking like we don't know what this is.

0:50.0

This is this alien life form that is showed up in the metal lands parking lot, but you had your family with you.

0:57.0

There was only so much you were going to get away with with your wife and with your kids in tow.

1:05.0

And I'm sorry that you went to a game and had to actually experience your favorite team losing. However, it saved my ass in the all important picks contest.

1:18.0

Eight and eight we tied because you had the giants. I had the cowboys. I got one up on the spread count because I had the cowboys and you had the giants best bets were not talking about.

1:28.0

I don't know what the fuck is going on with the best best bet. I'm oh and six the last two weeks.

1:33.0

Yeah, what is going on here? I don't know. The Boston meatballs have gone bad. Oh, I know. I don't know what you're doing there. It's like catch up and hamburger helper right now.

1:43.0

We're tied straight up on the season. I am catching up speaking of catch up to you against the spread best bets. I'm one and eight. Is that right?

1:58.0

Come on up again. That is right. That is right. One and eight. What in the holy shit is going on here? Yeah. I know. Yeah. It's a hey. Hey, you know, if I flip every single one of them, I would be doing pretty well right now.

2:11.0

All right. Let's see if we can turn around this and you got a bad back right now. It's just all bad. It's all bad. Maybe the bad. Maybe the bad back. Maybe there's the source of football wisdom burrowing around at the base of my spine. I hope not.

2:25.0

All right. All odds provided by bet MGM Thursday night football dolphins at the Bengals since Sinada. Four point favorite over under a 47. Chris, who do you like? Did you say Cincinnati? I like that. I did. Did you say bangles? I know you're going to. I definitely am. It's funny. You say Cincinnati. That's how my father who's like grew up right by Cincinnati calls it Cincinnati. Like we did a correct deal. I was like, no, no, it's Cincinnati. No, it's Cincinnati. It's Cincinnati.

2:54.0

Is that how they say it in West Virginia? Just before I started on this little breakdown of the game. No, no, I've just I've heard it referred to before is Cincinnati. Maybe by your dad when he used to call game. Yeah, maybe he said Cincinnati. Yeah, just as you say bangles. Yeah, that's right. The freaking bangles. That's right. I'm excited for this one. I think the big key to the game for me, just if I had to take one thing. I'm going to go right to the Bengals offense. Protection of Joe burrow against the defense. That's super aggressive. I could see it going. I'm going to. I'm going to.

3:24.0

You know, a lot of different ways. And I really think this is a key to the game because I think if, you know, one, you know, the dolphins, if they do it too much, you know, yeah, they could create a play and certainly a turnover. They've done that two out of their three games or their defenses helped them score easy touchdowns. But at the same time, you know, they let up a lot of big plays too. And this group, it was called the big play bangles last year for a reason. They can they can torture torture or torture you here in this equation. So that's the thing I look at with the dolphins back off.

3:54.0

Of it. I don't know, you know, will they be a little scared of Jamar chase and Higgins and Boyd and being one on one like that with Joe burrow who's pretty aggressive. I think ultimately that's what I'm scared of. I'm going to say the Bengals have a good plan for it. I think Joe burrow is going to realize, wait, my defense is good. As long as I don't get a strip sack. Bumble or force something. I think we can win this football game. And that's why, you know, when it comes down to it, that's the biggest point for me. I'm going to go to the Bengals 2720. I've got 2721. Look.

4:24.0

Bengals are one and two. They're back home for the first time since week one. They should be two and one could be three and oh, they had the Steelers beat and they had the Cowboys beat. I thought they were going to blow the Cowboys off the field. That's one of my various failed best bets. But I think tonight, the dolphins, not as good as three and oh would suggest. I know we have them at the top of the power rankings. A few bread crumbs there, a few treats for the dolphins fans. They want to enjoy this great start. And hey, they are three and oh, you are what your record says you are. But they shouldn't have beaten the bills.

4:54.0

They pulled a rabbit out of their ass to beat the Ravens. I just feel like tonight, short week, making the trip. Bengals understand what's its stake, wearing the white on white with the white helmets. That's a little energizing. No doubt. You've talked about that. How you feel translates to how you play. And they're going to feel good because they look good in those all white uniforms. I like the Bengals 2721 Joe borough big night, Jamar chase, big night. And you know, we talked earlier on PFT Live about over under.

5:23.8

We're both right on the cusp of that 47. You're on it. I'm over it. I don't know how I feel about how high scoring the game is going to be. I'm hoping it's even more than what we've picked. But our sense is right in line with where Vegas is by way of picking that middle ground, where we really don't know which way it's going to go.

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