Weak Earnings and Bad Economic Data Pummel Stocks – Ep. 48
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 28 January 2015
⏱️ 35 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
* Wall Street spared blizzard only to be buried in bad earnings and bad economic news
* December durable goods down 3.4%; expected to come in at +.7
* Consumer confidence up to 102.9; contrarian indicator
* Last time consumers were this confident was in the middle of 2007
* Number will collapse when reality has a violent confrontation with perception
* P&G earnings down 31%
* Caterpillar warned
* Microsoft stock down 10% today
* UPS announced they overestimated holiday sales
* Businesses geared up for a recovery in late 2013 that was not going to happen
* Layoffs coming in 2015
* This may give the Fed an excuse to delay rate increase
* How can a strong dollar be good for America but a weak euro be good for Europe?
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | about Peter Schiff show. Well, New York was spared the blizzard that all the weathermen |
| 0:12.6 | were sure was coming. I was here in these reports here in Connecticut. It was going to |
| 0:17.2 | be the worst storm ever, three foot of snow. And you know, it was basically a light dusting |
| 0:24.3 | in New York City. We did get maybe I don't know, six, eight inches here in Connecticut. |
| 0:29.5 | Nothing really impressive. But New York really was spared the storm with the exception |
| 0:36.4 | of Wall Street, right? Wall Street got buried in three feet, not of snow, right? But |
| 0:42.2 | of bad earnings and bad economic news that had to Dow at one point down almost 400 points. |
| 0:49.9 | We're down about 390 early in the morning. We did rally back. We closed down 290s. So |
| 0:55.8 | about a hundred points off the intercession lows. Now I was joking on television earlier |
| 1:02.4 | today that these these weathermen are making economists and central bankers look good because |
| 1:08.0 | his bad is therefore cassar. The economists and the central bankers are even worse. Let's |
| 1:14.8 | start with the economic numbers of the day. In fact, there were a lot of economic numbers |
| 1:19.4 | that came out today. But let's just focus on one in particular, which I think was the most |
| 1:25.3 | significant. And that was December durable goods. Right? This was some of the bad news that |
| 1:30.2 | came out today, although the earnings and I'll get to that next. That was even more instrumental |
| 1:37.1 | in the weakness out of the out of the starting gate. But durable goods were expected to come in |
| 1:42.4 | at a plus point seven. And if you strip out transportation, they were expected to be plus |
| 1:49.4 | point eight. All right? Now pretty much all the economists were expecting a gain. The only |
| 1:54.2 | question was how much? Some people had the gain as high as 2.9%. There were a couple of guys. |
| 2:00.3 | Just a couple that thought it would go down. Right? So we had a somebody would think it may be |
| 2:06.2 | down 1.3%. The actual number down 3.4%. Huge drop totally unexpected. I don't know why. You know, |
| 2:17.2 | why is all the bad news unexpected? You know, already we've had more unexpected bad news so far |
... |
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