Watching yields, soft landing and extending bond durations
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 13 August 2023
⏱️ 11 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | I'm Rob Isbitz, seeking off a contributor under the profile SunGarden Investment Publishing, |
| 0:16.0 | a formerly moderate income investor. |
| 0:18.0 | I am joined again by my friend and industry colleague and veteran Matthew Tuttle of Tuttle capital management. |
| 0:27.2 | He is a fellow seeking alpha contributor, a highly experienced trader, and very much an E.T.F innovator. |
| 0:34.2 | I mean, look, we're recording this on Wednesday, about 1230 p.m. |
| 0:40.9 | It is August 2nd. So last night, Fitch, one of the rating agencies, downgrading the U.S. |
| 0:50.8 | debt from AAA to double A plus. |
| 0:54.0 | I mean, not seem like much. |
| 0:56.0 | It may not be much. |
| 0:58.0 | Wanter to get your initial impression. |
| 1:00.0 | My initial impression is it's not much. I mean as we sit here the market's selling off a bit |
| 1:08.6 | But you know I think we're we're at a spot after this recent run where it doesn't take much for people to start |
| 1:18.0 | taking profits. |
| 1:19.8 | The thing I'm monitoring is I am monitoring yields. So you know the 10 year is back over 4% that is not |
| 1:28.7 | typically been a good spot for stocks but you know the past couple of times we've gotten at that level, we've come down real |
| 1:36.8 | quick. |
| 1:38.1 | So you know, that's what I'm watching more than anything, you know, if this does bring yields over 4% and keep them over 4%, |
| 1:49.6 | then I may change my mind. |
| 1:51.5 | But for now I think, you know, well, we'll go about 4%, we'll look around for a while and then we'll come back down and this will be much ado about nothing. |
| 2:02.0 | You know, the narrative out there now is, oh, okay, it's going to be, you know, the Fed is going to get this |
| 2:09.2 | right, we're not going to have a recession or if it is we're barely going to notice it etc |
| 2:14.8 | etc what do you think? Yeah so I know you look at all the data it's all |
... |
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