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Wall Street Breakfast

Watch out for 'Returnuary'

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 26 December 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Holiday sales on record pace, but nearly $900B could be returned. (0:16) Roaring Kitty back again. (2:39) Investors should brace for post-inauguration disillusionment. (4:13)

Show Notes
What to expect from the Macau casino sector in 2025
Uber reacts to regulatory snub in Taiwan

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis.

0:09.0

Good afternoon, today is Thursday, December 26th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan.

0:14.0

Our top story so far. Reports continue to indicate that holiday spending hit a record level this year.

0:20.0

However,

0:21.2

the calendar rolling out past Christmas Day means the end of the peak shopping season and the

0:25.7

beginning of the busiest time of the year for returns. The National Retail Federation

0:29.9

forecasts that returns are expected to amount to 17% of all U.S. merchandise sales, totaling

0:36.3

$890 billion in return goods. That level would

0:39.5

market increase from the return rate of about 15% of total sales in 2023. The level of returns

0:45.6

in the retail industry has exploded since the pandemic, when consumers became comfortable buying

0:50.8

merchandise in more than one size or one color due to the ease and low costs of returning unwanted items.

0:56.8

By some estimates, close to two-thirds of consumers now buy multiple sizes or colors, some of which they send back, a practice known as bracketing.

1:04.9

A higher percentage of consumers will also buy an item for a specific event and then return it for a store, credit, or refund.

1:11.6

The phenomenon has become so prominent that experts have taken to calling January as return

1:16.1

urinary due to the high volume of returns process during the month. With behaviors like

1:20.6

bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink

1:25.5

reverse logistics, warned Happy Return CEO David Sobey.

1:29.5

Retailers are adapting to the challenges of return your area by implementing various

1:33.3

strategies, such as tightening return policies, offering refunds without requiring item

1:37.8

returns, and exploring buyback programs to keep products in circulation.

1:42.4

On the economic front, weekly initial jobless claims

1:45.2

dipped to $219,000 from $220,000 lower than the $223,000 expected. And bond yields continue

...

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