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Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots. I'm James Hill and I'm joined today by

Fraser Nelson and Katie Balls. Now it is a year ago today since Boris Johnson

announces recognition as Prime Minister. On that day, 6th, 7th July, 2022, the polls from Ugoff

showed that the Conservatives were on 29 points, Labour on 40 points, 11 point lead.

Today, the Conservatives were on 22 points and Labour on 47 points, a 25 point lead.

Katie, talk us through this. Why has it all happened?

Well, let me tell you a story. I mean, we all know what's happened.

I think it actually feels a bit strange. It was only a year ago. Because in that time,

we haven't just had a Rishi Sienaak. We had a Liz Trust. You've had the mini-budget and,

therefore, I think it's obviously, as you would expect, that lots of people to mark the day

depending on who they're backing. Some are coming out saying, see the situation in Boris Johnson

really wasn't very bad. This is a mad mistake where Rishi Sienaak is not up to it.

I think it would be fairer to point out that what happened between Boris Johnson going and

Rishi Sienaak taking over was lots more political turmoil, partly in the mini-budget.

But it is fair to say that, I think, if you think back to those mass resignations to

House Boris Johnson, back then, there was definitely a sense of hope amongst 3 MPs that actually,

they could just do a quick course correction and they would fix things at the next election.

In the sense of a new leader, they thought Boris Johnson was too scandal-ridden,

...