War shock sends oil up
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 2 March 2026
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.
Show links:
Biggest stock movers Monday: Oil and defense spikes, airlines slide as war fears grip markets
Airline stocks dive: AAL, UAL, DAL, ALK fall as Middle East strikes ground flights
Khamenei betting frenzy triggers backlash, scrutiny of prediction markets
Quant check: Defense stocks volatile on rising U.S.-Iran tensions
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast, where we cover the top news for investors every morning. |
| 0:07.6 | It's good to have you here on this Monday, March 2nd. I'm Julie Morgan. |
| 0:13.6 | Crude prices have posted their biggest surge in four years after the U.S. Israeli War with Iran disrupted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, |
| 0:22.4 | a critical artery for global energy supplies. As of the time of this recording, Brent crude is up |
| 0:28.7 | 8% at nearly $79 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate is up more than 7% at $72. |
| 0:37.6 | Analysts at Citigroup said they expect Brent to trade between 80 and 90 bucks in the |
| 0:42.4 | near term, assuming either a leadership shift in Iran or a relatively swift de-escalation within a |
| 0:49.0 | week or two. A prolonged conflict, however, could push prices higher. Iran produces about 3.3 million barrels per day, |
| 0:57.6 | roughly 3% of global output, but its strategic position along the strait gives it outsized |
| 1:04.0 | influence over supply flows to major importers such as China, India, and Japan. For now, |
| 1:10.7 | traders are focused on whether shipping |
| 1:12.5 | resumes normally or whether the conflict triggers a sustained oil shock with broader economic |
| 1:18.6 | consequences. Gold prices cross $5,400 overnight as safe haven demand mounted in the wake of the |
| 1:26.2 | U.S. Israeli strikes on Iran. |
| 1:28.4 | As of the time of this recording, spot gold is up 2.2% at 5395 after reaching a four-week |
| 1:36.0 | high overnight. Gold has gained about 25% year-to-date and 87% over the past year. |
| 1:43.5 | ING strategists noted that the gold market remains underpinned |
| 1:47.2 | by strong central bank buying and expectations of policy easing later this year. They added even if |
| 1:54.6 | tension stabilized, these structural drivers suggest downside should be limited, with any |
| 2:00.1 | pullbacks likely to be shallow rather than |
| 2:02.9 | trend reversing. Spot Silver is also on the rise up 1.8% at 9547. FedEx on Monday said that pickup and |
| 2:13.4 | delivery services across Bahrain, Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, and the UAE have been temporarily suspended |
... |
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