3.8 • 950 Ratings
🗓️ 20 February 2025
⏱️ 6 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis. |
| 0:09.9 | Good afternoon. Today is Thursday, February 20th, and I'm your host, Kim Conn. Our top story so far, |
| 0:16.0 | Walmart's future guidance is spooking investors and shares are sharply lower. While Q4 results topped analysts' expectations, |
| 0:23.3 | Outlook, quote, assumes a generally stable consumer and continued pressure from its mix of products |
| 0:28.7 | and formats globally. The expectation for Q1 sales to be up 3 to 4% should result in EPS between |
| 0:35.7 | 57 and 58 cents. That's down 3 to 4 cents from a year ago |
| 0:40.0 | and below the consensus estimate of 65. For full fiscal year 26, Walmart also expects sales |
| 0:46.7 | to improve 3 to 4 percent, translating to $698.1 billion at the midpoint with EPS between |
| 0:53.5 | 250 and 260. This is also less than Wall |
| 0:56.4 | Street's expectations for EPS of 276 on $705.14 billion in sales. Shares did come off their |
| 1:04.2 | lows, however, during the earnings call where CEO Doug McMillan said, once you take the noise |
| 1:09.5 | out of guidance, we're in a great spot to start the year as we grow profits faster than sales. |
| 1:14.7 | The sell side also offered support. |
| 1:17.1 | Jeffrey's analyst Corey Tarlow said, |
| 1:19.1 | we think Walmart is setting up 25 to be a year of beats and raises, |
| 1:22.8 | similar to 24. |
| 1:24.4 | Morgan Stanley, Simeon Gutman said, |
| 1:26.6 | Street estimates are likely to be revised down this morning. |
| 1:29.8 | Similar to fiscal year 2025, we would expect a path of outperformance in fiscal year |
| 1:34.6 | 26 and ultimate EPS power exceeding the initial outlook. Walmart also raised its dividend |
| 1:40.8 | by 13% to 23.5 cents per share. Among other active stocks, you heard on Wall |
| 1:47.5 | Street breakfast about Palantir's dive in the previous session on potential defense spending cuts, |
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