Virginia GOP Faces Tough August Forecasts: One Leader Weighs In

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🗓️ 30 July 2025

⏱️ 24 minutes

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Summary

With August about to begin the long-time Virginia election watchers say that this is when “it gets real.” The Washington Examiner just published election predictions made by the organization State Navigate that reported that by their estimates each Democrat candidate would win the statewide races by a minimum of 8 percent and that Lt Gov Winsome Sears would lose by 11. Moreover, they predict that the Democratic party will flip 7 seats in the House of Delegates. Flipping it to a GOP majority had been a key effort of the Republican Party leadership so that they could block the “Day Of” Abortion constitutional amendment. We sat down with one leader that is spending his time and campaign contributions on other candidates this year, Tom Garrett of Virginia’s 56th district (Fluvanna, Louisa, Goochland) and asked him if the race had really turned so badly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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0:00.0	We've grown up surrounded by beauty ideals that promised confidence, but often delivered shame.
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0:35.8	Thanks for listening to this bonus episode of the Daily Signal podcast.
0:41.0	I'm your host, Joe Thomas, Virginia correspondent for The Daily Signal.
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1:18.7	With great puzzlement, I find myself looking at some of these reports now that claim that
1:24.3	they have done statistical analysis of Virginia's General Assembly races and gubernatorial races with great confidence now saying that even beyond the wildest dreams of Larry Sabato and the University of Virginia Center for Politics, it's 11 points to the Abigail Spanberger, eight points to the Jones,
1:47.8	and even Jason Miaris is long since going to be too far from a repeat performance as Attorney General.
1:56.8	Worse yet is that the Republican Party could lose six to eight seats in the General Assembly rather than flipping it,
2:05.1	which last time we spoke to House of Delegates, Representative Tom Garrett, leading the charge to try to flip two or three seats.
2:12.9	We were talking about flipping two or three seats, and now these surveys are saying, you know,
2:18.5	you'll be lucky to only lose three or four seats.
2:21.7	Tom, what happened over the last few months?
	...

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